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In order to reduce the production cost of the methane carbon dioxide reforming reaction, and improve its actual production efficiency, in this paper, the optimal working parameters of the methane carbon dioxide reforming reaction are studied. The influence of different factors on methane conversion is studied via a single-factor numerical simulation analysis and the response surface methodology. Firstly, a numerical model of the methane carbon dioxide reforming reaction is established using Ansys Chemkin Pro software to analyze the influence of single factors (reactor temperature, reaction pressure, gas velocity) on methane conversion rate; secondly, the response surface model with the methane conversion rate as the response value is established using the BBD (Box–Behnken design) method; and finally, the order of influence of each variable on methane conversion and the optimal reaction conditions are determined using the response surface method. The factors are listed in order of their influence on methane conversion as follows: reactor temperature > pressure > speed. The results show that when the temperature is 1135.114 K, the pressure is 0.103 MPa and the speed is 10slpm, the methane conversion rate is 93.7018%. In this paper, a method is adopted in which chemical reaction process simulation and numerical results prediction are combined, significantly reducing the simulation time and improving the calculation efficiency and accuracy, thus being of considerable scientific significance and theoretical value.