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The past decade has seen a growth in the development and deployment of educational technologies for assisting college-going students in choosing majors, selecting courses and acquiring feedback based on past academic performance. Grade prediction methods seek to estimate a grade that a student may achieve in a course that she may take in the future (e.g., next term). Accurate and timely prediction of students' academic grades is important for developing effective degree planners and early warning systems, and ultimately improving educational outcomes. Existing grade prediction methods mostly focus on modeling the knowledge components associated with each course and student, and often overlook other factors such as the difficulty of each knowledge component, course instructors, student interest, capabilities and effort.In this paper, we propose additive latent effect models that incorporate these factors to predict the student next-term grades. Specifically, the proposed models take into account four factors: (i) student's academic level, (ii) course instructors, (iii) student global latent factor, and (iv) latent knowledge factors. We compared the new models with several state-of-the-art methods on students of various characteristics (e.g., whether a student transferred in or not). The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed methods significantly outperform the baselines on grade prediction problem. Moreover, we perform a thorough analysis on the importance of different factors and how these factors can practically assist students in course selection, and finally improve their academic performance.

Next-basket recommendation considers the problem of recommending a set of items into the next basket that users will purchase as a whole. In this paper, we develop a new mixed model with preferences and hybrid transitions for the next-basket recommendation problem. This method explicitly models three important factors: 1) users' general preferences; 2) transition patterns among items and 3) transition patterns among baskets. We compared this method with 5 stateof-the-art next-basket recommendation methods on 4 public benchmark datasets. Our experimental results demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on all the datasets. We also conducted a comprehensive ablation study to verify the effectiveness of the different factors.

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