The existing technology of working with railway rolling stock belonging to various operators should improve the safety of the transportation process. This is one of the priority issues of the operation of the railway transport complex and is aimed at improving the safety of the goods transported, reducing the cost of repairing losses associated with loss or damage to cargo, reducing the non-productive costs of eliminating various types of traffic safety violations. At the same time, the majority of “new” operators providing services do not set out to ensure the safety of the transportation process. The main condition for them is to get the maximum amount of income and profit. These reasons have led to significant changes in the pattern of relations between cargo owners, carrier, rolling stock operator companies and require the speedy automation of most production cycles in order to ensure full control of the situation on the smooth organization of the transportation process. The article assesses the safety of the railway transport complex and constructs a mathematical model of the impact of specific indicators of the violation types on the overall safety level. The described system of mathematical predictive regression-type models can be used in the future to predict the level of security in the selected areas of activity. The factors that have the most significant impact on the safety of technical means by using the developed program complex of failure forecasting have been identified. The proposed program will enable structural managers to make reasoned decisions to improve the safety of the transportation process in both freight and passenger transport.
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