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494The long term macroeconomic indicators of the country (up to 2030) can be considered as the charac teristics of further positive development of the national metallurgical industry [1,2]. It is assumed that in the foreseeable future, the metallurgical industry will keep its position as a leading supplier of construction mate rials. As the results of an analysis of the processes dur ing the 2000s show, economic growth will require the involvement of material resources in national eco nomic circulation. The data on the metal consump tion dynamics in gross domestic product (GDP) of Russia in 1995-2010 shows a stable dependence on economic growth rates from the volume of metal used, whereas the development estimates of the real sector of the economy depend on the strengthening of the above mentioned dependence ( Fig. 1) [3,4].In the Russian Federation, metal consumption per unit of GDP significantly exceeds the parameters of other countries in the world. If there is a five to sixfold difference between per capita GDP in the Russian Federation and developed countries, there is almost no difference in per capita metal production, and the apparent consumption of metal does not exceed a fac tor of 2 (1.1 times higher than in the United States, but 2.2 times less than in Japan). During a cross country comparison of metal consumption levels, it becomes obvious that in developed countries, the significant part of metal is used for the production of exported goods, and Russia is a large importer of machine building industry products. All this leads many econo mists to conclude that there are economic growth pos sibilities at the achieved level of metal consumption (metal production) 1 . However, there is no reason to assume that as the economy's scales grow, its depen dence on the resource and material base will signifi cantly change. It should be emphasized that the con nection between metal saving and consumption levels is not of a compensatory, but complementary charac ter: the higher the resource saving rates, the higher competitiveness of products is, and the more profit able it is to increase metal production and consump tion. Consequently, a reduction in the metal produc tion component of Russia's GDP by 21% in 2007-2009 did not provide an increase in the efficiency of metal use in the country, but led to a crisis in the sys tem of metal product turnover. Similarly, the growth in metal consumption component of GDP in 2005-2007 by 12% most likely indicated the normalization of reproduction processes in the economy rather than an increase in the efficiency of metal use.If the RF economy reproduction mechanism of 1995-2010 is maintained, the growth in metal demand in the future will be directly proportional to economic growth rates. Within the forecast period, the demand for metal resources necessary for economic growth can be satisfied by means of reorientation of 1 This error is of a fundamental character, as it is ideologically driven, which is blind to the necessity to develop the material base of the national eco...

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