Industry of Ukraine requires cardinal changes both for overcoming of the current crisis phenomena and for providing of favourable conditions for dynamic and effective increase in a long-term prospect. Actuality of problem grows under impact of scale transformations in geopolitical and geoeconomical landscapes. The key trends of industrial development in the world are determined by the processes of introduction of innovative technologies of fourth industrial revolution (4IR). However, at present starting positions of national economy and industry in particular are unfavorable for realization of such projects. The problem of disparity of necessity and possibilities transition of industrial production to the new technological level must be settled by continuous adjustment of industry development strategy and state tactics to the specific national aims and conditions (macroeconomic, institutional, foreign-policy) The aim of this article is to accent attention on actual directions, mechanisms, and instruments, which are most accessible, acceptable (economical and institutional measuring) and effective for realization of industrial development strategy under existing conditions in Ukraine. In the article the "road map" of becoming modern industrial production in Ukraine is offered. It covers five purposeful directions (blocks): science and innovation, finance and investment, institutional, structural changes, and market demand. Within each of them tendencies are analysed and priorities for public industrial policy are formulated. The significance and arguments for the urgent formation of national scientific and innovative potential as a factor in reducing the dependence of production and reproduction processes in industry on external influences are presented. The institutional block covers the issue of uncertainty of strategic prospects of industrial development in Ukraine as a deterrent factor to the necessary transformations. The importance of realization of the strategic role of the state at the present stage of industrial transformations is argued. The objective need to involve big business in the intensification of innovation processes based on various forms of partnership with the state is revealed. Emphasis is placed on the priority tasks of structural and sectoral development in the context of accelerating the implementation of modern technological solutions and product innovations. In particular, the importance of the manufacturing sectors of defence and ICT is accented. The importance of expansion and diversification of domestic and foreign markets for the development of high-tech sectors of in national industry is considered.
The article presents results of a scientific and analytical study of the main trends in the Ukrainian industry, which characterize the features of its functioning and development in the last two decades against the background of similar processes in the world. The main accents are made on the analysis of the compliance of tendencies in Ukraine with the world and European trends of dynamic and structural development of industry. The processes of implementation in the national industry of the SDG-9 sectoral goal as a set of tasks within the framework of the concept of sustainable and inclusive development of manufacturing have also been studied. For comparative analytical studies, information and analytical resources of recognized international institutions were used, which systematically carry out constant monitoring and rating assessments of the current state and development of processes in the world economy on general methodological principles. It has been established that currently the industry of Ukraine is dominated mainly by short-term trends, which are formed and quickly change under the influence of market fluctuations. Starting from 2013, the leading role in accelerating the negative phenomena is played by the foreign policy factor – the military aggression of the Russian Federation. A factor that significantly worsens the current state of competitiveness and the potential for long-term industrial development of Ukraine is the decline of high-tech industries share in the manufacturing industry. This led to a decrease in the pace and relative volumes of value added creation in Ukrainian industry in comparison with global and regional indicators. Based on the data of well-known world ratings (CIP, SDG), the most problematic areas of the national industry were identified in the context of solving priority tasks of long-term development in conditions of accelerating technological transformations. Strategic directions are proposed that should fall into the focus of a long-term state industrial policy – structural development, stable internal demand, balanced exports.
Implementation of long-term strategies by all industrial stakeholders. The global nature of the challenges necessitates the organic and harmonious integration of all national economies into a new paradigmatic development framework. This requires active rethinking of strategic concepts and industrial policies by political and economic elites at the national, regional, and global levels. There is a growing trend towards expanding the targeted multi-dimensionality of industrial development as a component of holistic socio-economic systems at any level. Thus, the task of deepening the balance and harmonization of individual vectors and processes, both in the sector itself and in related sectors of the economy, is becoming more urgent. As part of the implementation of the imperatives of the socio-humanitarian paradigm, megatrends are being formed to prioritize the inclusion of humanitarian progress goals in industrial strategies and policies, transition to customer-oriented business models, and reorientation of industrial activities to form/expand the "comfort zone" (in various dimensions). The trend of systemic changes in the models of production use of all types of resources on the basis of maximizing resources’ efficiency and environmental safety is strategically important for global industrial development. This will lead to a shift in emphasis in long-term strategies from maximizing the volume and quantity to optimizing the structural and quality parameters of industrial production. The prospects for implementing the innovative paradigm of industrial development will be mainly determined by the scale and dynamics of 4IR deployment in key technological areas (digitalization, robotics, Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, etc.). For sustainable and inclusive development permanent innovative adaptability to changes is becoming a necessary property of industrial production and economic systems at all levels. In the context of the technological trend caused by the 4IR, the factors of information and communication and human resources are becoming increasingly important. The implementation of the innovative paradigm of industrial development contributes to the dynamic formation and deployment of the trend of creativity in the development and modernization of business models and industrial projects. At the current stage of world industrial development, the implementation of the globalization paradigm is accompanied by contradictory phenomena. However, the economic effects of globalization, which have already manifested themselves or are potentially possible, provide grounds to consider the trends caused by it as relatively stable long-term trends. The current processes of national/regional autonomisation should be viewed as a tactical adaptation maneuver in the economic policy of states and regional entities.
Для подтверждения гипотезы о существовании нескольких характерных типов наднациональных инновационных систем (ННИС), которые можно найти и идентифицировать и к которым с той или иной степенью приближения относятся все национальные макроэкономики в мире, рассмотрен отечественный и зарубежный опыт разработки соответствующих классификаций. В том числе: трёхуровневая таксономия национальных инновационных систем (НИС) мира 2005 г. с особым акцентом на инновациях, распространении информации и знаниях; двухуровневая классификация 2006 г. НИС технологически развитых стран-членов ОЭСР; классификация налоговых популяций 2018 г. (Европейская, Китайско-Восточноазиатская, Индийско-Южноазиатская, Магрибско-Ближневосточная), основанная на "длинных" тенденциях развития. Рассмотренные подходы к классификации наднациональных систем позволяют детально оценивать их сходства и различия в зависимости от структурных элементов, а также "вес" или степень влияния каждого основного элемента на конечную эффективность. Однако приведенные примеры являются более специфическими и узконаправленными, чем разработанная типологизация ННИС-2018. Предлагаемый альтернативный научно-методический подход на основе кластерного анализа 95 стран мира, различных по уровню экономического и технологического развития, а также географическому расположению, позволяет определить четыре характерных типа ННИС в контексте модели "Quadruple helix"-ко-эволюционного взаимодействия научно-образовательного, производственно-экономического, государственно-политического и социокультурного комплексов. Согласно предлагаемой типологизации выделены: ННИС типа А "развитые страны с институтами преимущественно инклюзивного типа"-высокоэффективный тип инновационной системы, который занимает первые места по большинству классификационных признаков, за исключением развития социокультурной среды (вторая позиция); ННИС типа В "развивающиеся страны со смешанными экстрактивно-инклюзивными институтами с сильно выраженной социокультурной составляющей (преимущественно мусульманского и буддийско-индуистского типов)"-средне-эффективный тип инноваци
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