The study proposes the construction of a statistical model of the company's eco-logical and economic state, using the synthesis of econometrics and multidimen-sional forecasting methods, which provide the correlation of the obtained indica-tors, taking into account mutual proportionality in relation to the dynamic charac-teristics of environmental sustainability factors within the framework of the sus-tainable development paradigm. A combined model is implemented with a step-by-step modification of the matrix predictor into a regression-matrix one. Using the method of least squares, the study shows the codependency of the ecological and economic indicators of the sustainability of the enterprise: the cost of capital repairs of fixed assets for environmental protection; labor payment expenditures, including deductions for social needs of employees involved in environmental pro-tection; operating environmental costs; sales revenue; profitability of production and sales. The obtained regression coefficient showed a high degree of dependence of the closeness of the relationship of the considered environmental and economic indicators of sustainability (more than 98%), which proves their codependency and the need for their balanced use, since the value of at least one of the indica-tors outside the optimal range allows us to state a high probability of financial damage for enterprises. Using a combined model based on a matrix predictor, the study demonstrates the calculation of the predicted values of environmental and economic indicators of sustainability for 2021.The peculiarity of this model is to take into account the lagging (up to 2 years) values of factors and their growth over the previous period (for 1 year). The proposed model contains a mechanism of multivariate expectations, which allows us to consider various options for the future. Also, this model allows the automation of the forecasting process, which is reflected in the implementation of the trend of transition to the digital space in the implementation of sustainable development goals.
Small innovation entrepreneurship nowadays suffers certain difficulties related to finding financial resources for starting up and development. Financing innovation projects of small entrepreneurship allows to solve several problems simultaneously, such as creating more jobs, improving welfare of the population, adjusting to changing conditions of the environment, etc. Within the framework of the study, a functional model of financing government-backed innovation projects in small entrepreneurship has been devised. The study results offer a context diagram and decompositions of several layers of government-backed financing scheme for small entrepreneurship. The practical value of the study is corroborated by a possibility to use the devised functional model for the purposes of strategic planning and monitoring small innovation entrepreneurship finance programs.
Для успешного встраивания России в мировое глобальное сообщество и формирования эффективной государственной политики в сфере научно-технического развития, научных прикладных исследований и современных инновационных технологий важным моментом является понимание мировых и отечественных трендов научно-технического прогресса. Современные инновационные процессы настоятельно диктуют необходимость отказа от линейной модели интеграции инструментов (научная идея-научные исследования и разработки-производство промышленных образцов-рынок) в пользу нелинейных сетевых моделей создания, финансирования и продвижения товаров на национальном и международных уровнях. Данная научная работа посвящена исследованию концептуальных подходов в оценке эффективности инновационного взаимодействия бизнес-сообществ, науки и государства. Выполнен анализ внешних и внутренних вызовов инновационного развития России в современных условиях. Осуществлено исследование ключевых направлений достижения стратегических ориентиров развития современной России в области инновационных научных исследований. Исследована роль и систематизированы принципы участия государства в инновационном взаимодействии бизнеса, государства и науки. Проведено исследование участия частного (предпринимательского) бизнеса в финансировании научных разработок по ведущим странам мира. Исследована динамика внутренних затрат на научные исследования и инновационные технологические разработки по источникам финансирования. Осуществлен трендовый анализ ряда показателей, характеризующих результаты внедрения инновационных разработок в практическую деятельность. Сформулированы рекомендации по повышению эффективности инновационного взаимодействия бизнеса, науки и государства.
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