Safety is crucial to ensure the sustainability of aviation growth. To better clarify the influences of human factors on aviation accident risks, this study developed a hybrid HFACS-BN model (HFACS: Human Factors Analysis and Classification System; BN: Bayesian Network). The authors designed and implemented a questionnaire survey based on the four-level HFACS framework and collected valid data from 180 out of 649 aviation professionals working in the Ulaanbaatar International Airport, Mongolian in 2017. The model identified 35 major human factors out of 129 factors. The model validation was performed in terms of content validity and predictive validity. The results showed that even though a majority of respondents perceived that many human factors had a middle-or high-effect on aviation accident risks, the probability of the risks caused by human factors was estimated to be just 1.37%. The Unsafe Acts level is most influential to the risks among the four levels, while the Unsafe Supervision level contributes least. It is revealed that enhancing aviation professionals' awareness of human factors should make full use of causal chaining effects among human factors. Finally, this study contributes to the literature from the perspectives of both methodological development and important empirical analysis.Sustainability 2018, 10, 4522 2 of 20 considered to be more than 80% [4]. Various efforts have been made to improve aviation safety by eliminating human errors, and globally, the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has always been devoted to improving human factors research achievements and adapting the latest ones into the aviation industry.The history of aviation safety experienced the era of technical factors from the early 1900s to late 1960s, and that of human factors from the early 1970s to mid-1990s, respectively. Recently, organizational factors have become a new concern and safety tends to be viewed from a systemic perspective, including both human and organizational factors as well as other factors [5]. Under this background, an effective tool namely Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS) was developed and it has been widely applied in aviation operation systems. However, challenges remain since HFACS is a theoretical framework and should be examined based on detailed quantitative data under different contexts. In recent years, research on human factors in aviation has been facing new challenges with the improvement of advanced technologies. In addition, commercial airplanes have adopted three crew members instead of two, and the flight environment has become more and more complicated. Compared with traditional mechanical tools, electronic ones have been widely applied and proven to be more effective.Previous studies have focused on searching for the origin of aviation accidents, but neglected professional opinions from experienced investigators or operators [6,7]. New theories and methodologies for human factors in aviation have been proposed, such as the SHEL (Software, Hardwa...