For many patients in persistent Atrial Fibrillation (AF), normal sinus rhythm (NSR) restoration use to be required to reduce the risk of stroke and improve cardiac output. Electrical cardioversion (ECV) is the most effective alternative to revert AF to sinus rhythm. However, because of the high risk of AF recurrence (especially during the first 2 weeks following the procedure) and because of potential collateral effects of ECV, it is clinically important to predict NSR maintenance after ECV before it is attempted. Thereby, the aim of this work is to obtain a robust and noninvasive predictor of NSR maintenance after ECV. The organization degree of the atrial activity (AA) obtained from surface electrocardiographic (ECG) recordings was estimated using a non-linear regularity index because it can be hypothesized that AF recurrence can be greater in those patients who present a highly disorganized AA. With the proposed strategy, 90.24% sensitivity and 78.57% specificity were obtained. Therefore, therapeutic interventions for the treatment of persistent AF could be improved, since unsuccessful electrical cardioversion and the consequent risks for the AF patients could be avoided.
IntroductionAtrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most commonly sustained cardiac arrhythmia in clinical practice, with a prevalence of 0.5% in the adult population [1], rising to 10% or more in those over 75 years [2,3]. This disease can be divided into different forms, namely paroxysmal AF (selfterminating within 7 days), persistent AF (interventions are required for its termination), and permanent AF (sinus rhythm cannot be restored) [2]. For many patients in persistent AF, restoration and maintenance of normal sinus rhythm (NSR) is the main therapeutic goal because symptoms, cardiac output, and exercise tolerance are improved whereas the risk of stroke is reduced [2]. Thus, the first step in the rhythm control strategy is generally cardioversion. While chemical-induced cardioversion is sometimes possible, particularly with amiodarone [4,5], it is generally more unsuccessful than electrical cardioversion (ECV), specially if the arrhythmia has been present for more than 24 hours [6]. However, because of the high AF risk of recurrence, especially during the first 2 weeks following the procedure [7] and because of the potential secondary effects of ECV [8,9], it would be clinically useful to predict NSR maintenance after electrical cardioversion before it is attempted. In this way, the risks of cardioversion could be avoided for those patients with low NSR maintenance probability, and for the health care provider, the clinical cost could be optimized because unproductive treatment time and bed usage could be reduced.To date, numerous studies have attempted to find invasive and non-invasive parameters (clinical, electrophysiological, demographic, etc.) for the prediction of electrical cardioversion outcome for AF. However, very different and, consequently, inconclusive results have been obtained [10]. Thereby, the aim of this work is to ob...