2015
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmaa.2015.06.054
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

A large deviations principle for the Maki–Thompson rumour model

Abstract: We consider the stochastic model for the propagation of a rumour within a population which was formulated by Maki and Thompson [20]. Sudbury [22] established that, as the population size tends to infinity, the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to 0.2032. Watson [23] later derived the asymptotic normality of a suitably scaled version of this proportion. We prove a corresponding large deviations principle, with an explicit formula for the rate function.

Help me understand this report
View preprint versions

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
4
1

Citation Types

0
10
0

Year Published

2017
2017
2020
2020

Publication Types

Select...
5
1

Relationship

1
5

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 11 publications
(10 citation statements)
references
References 19 publications
0
10
0
Order By: Relevance
“…In these models we usually have three kinds of individuals: ignorants (those that are yet to discover the rumor), spreaders (those that know the rumor and are spreading it) and stiflers (those that know the rumor, but do not spread it). These models and their variations are already well studied, see for example [4,3,5,6,9]. Differently from the Daley and Kendall or Maki and Thompson models, here we study the propagation of the rumor in discrete time and with no stiflers, so each individual will always propagate the information over time if possible.…”
Section: Introduction and Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In these models we usually have three kinds of individuals: ignorants (those that are yet to discover the rumor), spreaders (those that know the rumor and are spreading it) and stiflers (those that know the rumor, but do not spread it). These models and their variations are already well studied, see for example [4,3,5,6,9]. Differently from the Daley and Kendall or Maki and Thompson models, here we study the propagation of the rumor in discrete time and with no stiflers, so each individual will always propagate the information over time if possible.…”
Section: Introduction and Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The previous numerical analysis indicates that, for the Maki-Thompson model in which all spreaders act simultaneously, the limiting fraction of ignorants in the population would be equal to 0.174545. For more on the definitions and limit theorems for stochastic rumour models, we refer to Daley and Gani [11, Chapter 5], Lebensztayn [28], and Lebensztayn et al [32].…”
Section: Limiting Proportion Of Unvisited Verticesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In a finite population the process will eventually reach a stack situation where individuals are either stiflers or ignorants. The MT model has been widely studied and, among the rigorous results available, we recall that Sudbury proved that, as the population size tends to infinity, the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to 0.2032 [14]; Watson later derived the asymptotic normality of a suitably scaled version of this proportion [15] and a corresponding large deviations principle, with an explicit formula for the rate function was found by Lebensztayn [16]; we also refer to [18,19,17,20,21,22,23,24] for further investigations on the model. As we said, in the original version of the MT model there was no concern about the structure of the embedding community, but in more recent works, extensions to include also the underlying topology have been addressed [8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%