2023
DOI: 10.3390/aerospace10030297
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A Machine Learning and Feature Engineering Approach for the Prediction of the Uncontrolled Re-Entry of Space Objects

Abstract: The continuously growing number of objects orbiting around the Earth is expected to be accompanied by an increasing frequency of objects re-entering the Earth’s atmosphere. Many of these re-entries will be uncontrolled, making their prediction challenging and subject to several uncertainties. Traditionally, re-entry predictions are based on the propagation of the object’s dynamics using state-of-the-art modelling techniques for the forces acting on the object. However, modelling errors, particularly related to… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Additionally, the method's reliance on accurate and comprehensive training data may limit its effectiveness in dynamic and evolving space environments. Another research group (Salmaso et al, 2023) proposed a deep learning model for predicting the re-entry of uncontrolled objects in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) based on a modi ed Sequence-to-Sequence architecture. Trained on average altitude pro les from Two-Line Element (TLE) data of over 400 bodies, the model introduces novel input features, including a drag-like coe cient (𝐵 * ), average solar index, and area-to-mass ratio.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Additionally, the method's reliance on accurate and comprehensive training data may limit its effectiveness in dynamic and evolving space environments. Another research group (Salmaso et al, 2023) proposed a deep learning model for predicting the re-entry of uncontrolled objects in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) based on a modi ed Sequence-to-Sequence architecture. Trained on average altitude pro les from Two-Line Element (TLE) data of over 400 bodies, the model introduces novel input features, including a drag-like coe cient (𝐵 * ), average solar index, and area-to-mass ratio.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Certain sensors, for instance, exhibit constant measurements throughout the entire life cycle. To mitigate computational complexity, we adopt the approach outlined in [40], selectively incorporating data from 14 sensors (sensors 2, 3,4,7,8,9,11,12,13,14,15,17,20,21) into our training process. Recognizing the disparate numerical ranges resulting from distinct sensor measurements, we also employ a min-max normalization technique by using the following formula:…”
Section: C-mapss Dataset and Preprocessingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As data volume and computing capabilities continue to expand, artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) have found success in applications across various domains, including cyber security [9,10], geology [11,12], aerospace engineering [13,14], and transportation [15,16]. In parallel, the focus of research on data-driven approaches for RUL estimation is in the process of transitioning from conventional statistical-based probabilistic techniques to AI/ML methods.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Certain sensors, for instance, exhibit constant measurements throughout the entire life cycle. mitigate computational complexity, we adopt the approach outlined in [35], selectively incorporating data from 14 sensors (sensors 2, 3,4,7,8,9,11,12,13,14,15,17,20,21) into our training process.…”
Section: C-mapss Dataset and Preprocessingmentioning
confidence: 99%