A Machine Learning Approach for NDVI Forecasting based on Sentinel-2 Data

Cavalli, Stefano; Penzotti, Gabriele; Amoretti, Michele; Caselli, Stefano

doi:10.5220/0010544504730480

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…However, it should be noted that a fairly simple feature selection method was employed and more effective ones like Genetic Algorithms (GAs) or Shapely Addictive Explanation (SHAP) should be considered in future studies. Additionally, recent studies investigated the potential of using time series-based Artificial Neural Networks for spectral index forecasting [86,87]. In this context, these forecast estimates could be employed to predict crop ecophysiological parameters and thus further enhance precision agriculture applications.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation of Intercepted Solar Radiation and Stem Water Potential in a Table Grape Vineyard Covered by Plastic Film Using Sentinel-2 Data: A Comparison of OLS-, MLR-, and ML-Based Methods

Farbo,

Trombetta,

de Palma

et al. 2024

Plants

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In the framework of precision viticulture, satellite data have been demonstrated to significantly support many tasks. Specifically, they enable the rapid, large-scale estimation of some viticultural parameters like vine stem water potential (Ψstem) and intercepted solar radiation (ISR) that traditionally require time-consuming ground surveys. The practice of covering table grape vineyards with plastic films introduces an additional challenge for estimation, potentially affecting vine spectral responses and, consequently, the accuracy of estimations from satellites. This study aimed to address these challenges with a special focus on the exploitation of Sentinel-2 Level 2A and meteorological data to monitor a plastic-covered vineyard in Southern Italy. Estimates of Ψstem and ISR were obtained using different algorithms, namely, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR), and machine learning (ML) techniques, which rely on Random Forest Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Partial Least Squares. The results proved that, despite the potential spectral interference from the plastic coverings, ISR and Ψstem can be locally estimated with a satisfying accuracy. In particular, (i) the OLS regression-based approach showed a good performance in providing accurate ISR estimates using the near-infrared spectral bands (RMSE < 8%), and (ii) the MLR and ML algorithms could estimate both the ISR and vine water status with a higher accuracy (RMSE < 7 for ISR and RMSE < 0.14 MPa for Ψstem). These results encourage the adoption of medium–high resolution multispectral satellite imagery for deriving satisfying estimates of key crop parameters even in anomalous situations like the ones where plastic films cover the monitored vineyard, thus marking a significant advancement in precision viticulture.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation of Intercepted Solar Radiation and Stem Water Potential in a Table Grape Vineyard Covered by Plastic Film Using Sentinel-2 Data: A Comparison of OLS-, MLR-, and ML-Based Methods

Farbo,

Trombetta,

de Palma

et al. 2024

Plants

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AI Augmentation to Remote Sensing Imagery in Forestry Conservation & Restoration for Increased Responsive Capabilities

Gandikota

Gladkova

Tran³

et al. 2022

2022 IEEE Applied Imagery Pattern Recognition Workshop (AIPR)

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Multidimensional analysis of NDVI dynamics in response to climate and land use/land cover change in Northwest Algeria

Mahcer,

Baahmed,

Oudin

et al. 2024

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

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Climate change has emerged as a major concern at both regional and global scales in recent decades. Northwestern Algeria is particularly vulnerable as a semi-arid zone, where changes in climate and land cover (LC) will have a significant impact on vegetation in the long term. This study analyses, through a multidimensional approach, the influence of climate change and LC on vegetation dynamics. Hierarchical partitioning (HP) analysis was conducted to determine the most influential climatic variables (precipitation, temperature) on the dynamics of NDVI. The results show that the annual NDVI shows a fluctuating spatial trend between decrease and increase in different regions. Trends in seasonal NDVI are spatially varied and less uniform. Variations in precipitation are stable, while temperatures show clear and consistent significant increases across the region, with a general tendency to increase (p<0.01) in spring and summer. In mountainous areas, NDVI shows an increasing trend both annually and seasonally. The correlation (r²) between NDVI, temperature and precipitation (0.75–1.0) over the different seasons reveals significant seasonal and regional variability. LC transition patterns also influence spatio-temporal trends in vegetation cover. They reveal that the rate of change of NDVI varies between LC types and regions, with resilience in forests and grasslands. These variations have significant implications for vegetation dynamics, as observed by NDVI.

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A Machine Learning Approach for NDVI Forecasting based on Sentinel-2 Data

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

Estimation of Intercepted Solar Radiation and Stem Water Potential in a Table Grape Vineyard Covered by Plastic Film Using Sentinel-2 Data: A Comparison of OLS-, MLR-, and ML-Based Methods

Estimation of Intercepted Solar Radiation and Stem Water Potential in a Table Grape Vineyard Covered by Plastic Film Using Sentinel-2 Data: A Comparison of OLS-, MLR-, and ML-Based Methods

AI Augmentation to Remote Sensing Imagery in Forestry Conservation & Restoration for Increased Responsive Capabilities

Multidimensional analysis of NDVI dynamics in response to climate and land use/land cover change in Northwest Algeria

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