2000
DOI: 10.2143/ast.30.1.504627
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A Mathematical Model of Alzheimer's Disease and the Apoe Gene

Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) accounts for a significant proportion of long-term care costs. The recent discovery that the e4 allele of the ApoE gene indicates a predisposition to earlier onset of AD raises questions about the potential for adverse selection in long-term care insurance, about long-term care costs in general, and about the potential effects on costs of gene therapy, or better targetted treatments for AD. This paper describes a simple Markov model for AD, and the estimation of the transition intensit… Show more

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Cited by 32 publications
(37 citation statements)
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References 82 publications
(141 reference statements)
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“…23 This degree of impairment is consistent with, for example, an individual who has just been diagnosed as suffering from Alzheimer's Disease (Macdonald & Pritchard (2000)). Results for such an individual are presented in Figure 5, which was constructed using the same set of parameters ( 5 2 = k , 10000 2 = d and 0488 .…”
Section: Adverse Mortality Selection: Impaired Livessupporting
confidence: 62%
“…23 This degree of impairment is consistent with, for example, an individual who has just been diagnosed as suffering from Alzheimer's Disease (Macdonald & Pritchard (2000)). Results for such an individual are presented in Figure 5, which was constructed using the same set of parameters ( 5 2 = k , 10000 2 = d and 0488 .…”
Section: Adverse Mortality Selection: Impaired Livessupporting
confidence: 62%
“…In the case of the ApoE genotype, we can for example wonder if creating a distance being equal to one between all pairs of different genotypes is really optimal. Having d(( 2 , 2 ), ( 4 , 4 )) higher than d(( 2 , 2 ), ( 2 , 3 )) would not be absurd given the known biological impact of the ApoE alleles [5]. This example illustrates that the distance-based extension is not necessarily well suited for discrete clinical variables.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Three ApoE alleles exist ( 2 , 3 , 4 ), and since each individual carries two alleles, six ApoE genotypes are possible. The 4 allele has been shown to increase the risk of developing AD, whereas 2 decreases this risk [5]. Moreover an Aβ 42 protein analysis of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is provided.…”
Section: Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus Macdonald & Pritchard (2000) trawled the large literature on AD (up to about 1998), and found just one study that reported age-related risks in enough detail. (b) Premium rates based on an epidemiological study are functions of the data underlying that study.…”
Section: Longevity Genes and Annuity Pricingmentioning
confidence: 99%