2018
DOI: 10.1002/qre.2300
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A method of human reliability analysis and quantification for space missions based on a Bayesian network and the cognitive reliability and error analysis method

Abstract: Analyses of human reliability during manned spaceflight are crucial because human error can easily arise in the extreme environment of space and may pose a great potential risk to the mission. Although various approaches exist for human reliability analysis (HRA), all these approaches are based on human behavior on the ground. Thus, to appropriately analyze human reliability during spaceflight, this paper proposes a space-based HRA method of quantifying the human error probability (HEP) for space missions. Ins… Show more

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Cited by 21 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…They addressed PSFs specific to the space environment to fully consider space mission characteristics. 15 The third-generation HRA methods are based on simulation technology. These methods simulate human performance in actual work using virtual scenarios and can generate dynamic HRA analysis.…”
Section: Selection Of Hra Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…They addressed PSFs specific to the space environment to fully consider space mission characteristics. 15 The third-generation HRA methods are based on simulation technology. These methods simulate human performance in actual work using virtual scenarios and can generate dynamic HRA analysis.…”
Section: Selection Of Hra Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Jiayu Chen et al proposed a space‐based HRA method because human error can easily arise in the extreme environment like manned spaceflight. They addressed PSFs specific to the space environment to fully consider space mission characteristics . The third‐generation HRA methods are based on simulation technology.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Currently, the HRA study is tended to take more diverse math approaches in modeling human performance and producing the HEP. These approaches include the fuzzy set theory and the Bayesian network . Also, there is a new development as simulating human performance in HRA .…”
Section: Research Backgroundmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These approaches include the fuzzy set theory 15 and the Bayesian network. 16,17 Also, there is a new development as simulating human performance in HRA. 10 The simulation-based HRA methods can provide dynamical modeling system based on a virtual task context and even virtual operators.…”
Section: Human Reliability Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Calhoun et al [8,9] introduced new performance shaping factors to quantify human error probability in space missions. Chen et al [10] used CREAM and a Bayesian Network to evaluate human unreliability in space missions. Wu et al [11] proposed an evidential reasoning-based CREAM method to assess human reliability in a ship capsizing accident.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%