Abstract:<p>A new methodological framework for the event-based evaluation of high resolution short-range hydro-meteorological ensemble forecasts is presented. It is specifically designed to address the questions of spatial and temporal scales at which ensemble forecasts should be evaluated, according to the characteristics of a flash-flood event. We adopt the point of view of end-users in charge of organizing evacuation and rescue operations. For this purpose, the potentially local exceedance of discharge… Show more
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