Introduction
Previous prognostic scoring systems for MPM included patients managed surgically and predated the use of pemetrexed. We analyzed prognostic factors in a contemporary cohort of patients with unresectable MPM who received pemetrexed-based chemotherapy.
Methods
This single institution analysis included MPM patients managed non-surgically from 2000–2013. Variables correlated with overall survival (OS) included sex, performance status (PS), asbestos exposure, tumor laterality, histology, clinical stage, initial PET maximum Standardized Uptake Value (SUVmax), hemoglobin, platelet, lymphocyte, white cell (WBC) and neutrophil counts, treatment type, and clinical benefit from treatment. OS was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method, and significance (p<0.05) of prognostic factors was analyzed by log-rank test and Cox regression.
Results
191 patients met study criteria: median age 71 years (range 46–90), 147 (77%) male, 128 (67%) epithelioid tumors, 157 (82%) stage III-IV. Median OS for all patients was 13.4 months. By univariate analysis, histology (p<0.001), platelet count (≤450,000 vs >450,000 p<0.001), initial PS (0–1 versus ≥ 2), SUVmax (> or ≤8.1, p=0.037), and lymphocyte counts (p=0.019) were associated with OS. By multivariable analysis, only histology, platelet count and PS were independent prognostic factors. Epithelioid histology, PS and elevated lymphocyte count at diagnosis were significantly associated with clinical benefit from first-line chemotherapy.
Conclusions
Our results confirm the significance of elements of the CALGB and EORTC prognostic scoring systems, identify factors associated with clinical benefit from chemotherapy, and emphasize the impact of histology and clinical benefit of chemotherapy on outcomes.