Coal ash blast is a potential hazard that causes serious disasters in coal mines. In explosion control, research work on coal ash sensitivity prediction is of practical importance to improve accuracy, reduce blindness of explosion protection measures, and strengthen targets. The potential and destructive characteristics of coal ash blast vary greatly from coal to coal, especially in coal mines with complex and changing environments, where the characteristics of coal ash blast show great variability under the influence of various factors. In addition, due to the lack of systematic and comprehensive understanding of the occurrence mechanism of coal ash blast, it is necessary to conduct systematic research on the occurrence mechanism of coal ash blast. Current coal ash blast sensitivity summarizes and concludes prediction methods to create reliable predictions for coal ash blast. A new general learning method, support vector machine (SVM), has been developed, which provides a unified framework for solving limited sample training problems and can better solve small sample training problems. With the purpose of determining the coal mine problem and coal ash sensitivity prediction sensitivity indicators and thresholds, the SVM method is used to set the sensitivity function of each prediction indicator, and the sensitivity of each prediction indicator for the proposed study mine is expressed quantitatively. The experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of SVM for positive and negative categories is 15.6% higher than that of BP neural network and 35.1% higher than that of Apriori algorithm. Therefore, the prediction effectiveness of the SVM algorithm is proved. Therefore, it is practical to adopt SVM method for prediction on sensitivity to coal ash blast and apply the latest statistical learning theory SVM to predict the risk of coal ash.