2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-22841-5
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A Possible Role of Dust in Resolving the Holocene Temperature Conundrum

Abstract: Climate models generally fail to produce a warmer (by as much as 0.5 °C) early to mid-Holocene than the pre-industrial in the global annual temperature, which has been termed the Holocene temperature conundrum. Here we use a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model to test whether the conundrum can be partially resolved by considering the fact that atmospheric dust loading was much reduced during the early to mid-Holocene. Our experiments show that the global annual mean surface temperature inc… Show more

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Cited by 49 publications
(47 citation statements)
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“…Qualitative temperature records from Eurasia (Baker et al, 2017) and quantitative temperature reconstructions from Eastern Russia (Meyer et al, 2017) support the warming trend through the Holocene evidenced by Marsicek et al (2018). Several discrepancies between proxyinferred climate reconstructions and model outputs persist and suggest: i) large regional heterogeneities (Davis et al, 2003;Kaufman et al, 2004;Jansen et al, 2007Jansen et al, , 2008Renssen et al, 2012;Peyron et al, 2017;Marsicek et al, 2018); ii) different trends depending on the season considered (Mauri et al, 2014(Mauri et al, , 2015Rehfeld et al, 2016;Marsicek et al, 2018); iii) seasonal biases in proxies (Marcott et al, 2013;Liu et al, 2014;Rehfeld et al, 2016;Samartin et al, 2017;Marsicek et al, 2018;Hou et al, 2019); iv) under-estimation of some forcing factors by models (mineral dust, Liu et al, 2018, or deglaciation, Renssen et al, 2009, and v) biases in the climate sensitivity of current climate models (Liu et al, 2014;Mauri et al, 2014;Zhang et al, 2018). Therefore, climate changes during the Holocene at local, regional and global scales remain an area of active research and debate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…Qualitative temperature records from Eurasia (Baker et al, 2017) and quantitative temperature reconstructions from Eastern Russia (Meyer et al, 2017) support the warming trend through the Holocene evidenced by Marsicek et al (2018). Several discrepancies between proxyinferred climate reconstructions and model outputs persist and suggest: i) large regional heterogeneities (Davis et al, 2003;Kaufman et al, 2004;Jansen et al, 2007Jansen et al, , 2008Renssen et al, 2012;Peyron et al, 2017;Marsicek et al, 2018); ii) different trends depending on the season considered (Mauri et al, 2014(Mauri et al, , 2015Rehfeld et al, 2016;Marsicek et al, 2018); iii) seasonal biases in proxies (Marcott et al, 2013;Liu et al, 2014;Rehfeld et al, 2016;Samartin et al, 2017;Marsicek et al, 2018;Hou et al, 2019); iv) under-estimation of some forcing factors by models (mineral dust, Liu et al, 2018, or deglaciation, Renssen et al, 2009, and v) biases in the climate sensitivity of current climate models (Liu et al, 2014;Mauri et al, 2014;Zhang et al, 2018). Therefore, climate changes during the Holocene at local, regional and global scales remain an area of active research and debate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…This disparity is referred to as the "Holocene temperature conundrum" (Liu et al, 2014). The exact reasons for the Holocene temperature conundrum remain unclear, but possible causes including seasonal bias in the proxy reconstructions (e.g., underrepresentation of winter proxies) (Baker et al, 2017;Meyer et al, 2015) and uncertainties in current climate models (e.g., incomplete forcing and underestimated sensitivities) (Liu et al, 2014(Liu et al, , 2018Zhang, Renssen et al 2018) have been proposed. Some studies show that the warming trends were limited to regions where the cooling forced by the remnant continental ice sheets (the Fennoscandia ice sheet and the Laurentide ice sheet) exceeded the warming forced by the high Northern Hemisphere summer insolation (NHSI) during the early to mid-Holocene (Baker et al, 2017;Marsicek et al, 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, except for the African Humid Period (AHP) (deMenocal et al, 2000;Ehrmann et al, 2017;McGee et al, 2013), the influence of the Holocene centennial climate variability on the past dust cycle remains poorly quantified (Cockerton et al, 2014;Mulitza et al, 2010), but it can be a key element of the forcing of climatic variations and therefore deserves to be integrated in transient climate simulations of the Holocene (Albani et al, 2015). For instance, the neglect of atmospheric dust reduction in the early to mid-Holocene in climate models could partly explain the model-data temperature discrepancy in the Northern Hemisphere (Liu et al, 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The respective influence of fluvial versus eolian input and the low time resolution of marine sedimentary records over the Holocene period do not allow for studies of short-term (decadal to centennial) variability. Other continental archives such as peat bogs (Le Roux et al, 2012;Longman et al, 2017) and lakes (Zielhofer et al, 2017) demonstrate the possibility to record African dust. A recent study in the Iberian Peninsula shows the potential for highelevation lake sediment to record African dust (Jiménez-Espejo et al, 2014), despite the low resolution of the sequence.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%