A Reanalysis of the 1911–20 Atlantic Hurricane Database

Landsea, Christopher W.; Glenn, David A.; Bredemeyer, William; Chenoweth, Michael; Ellis, Ryan; Gamache, John F.; Hufstetler, Lyle; Mock, Cary J.; Pérez, Ramón Egea; Prieto, R.; Sánchez-Sesma, Jorge; Thomas, D. J.; Woolcock, Lenworth

doi:10.1175/2007jcli1119.1

Cited by 98 publications

(52 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…The Atlantic Best-Track Dataset provided storm positions and maximum wind speed estimates at 6-hour intervals going back to 1851 A.D. (Jarvinen et al 1984, Landsea et al 2004, Landsea et al 2008, NOAA 2010b. Rather than maximum wind speed, SLOSH uses the barometric pressure difference between the storm center and the ambient environment (∆P) as the intensity parameter (Jelesnianski et al 1992).…”

Section: Event Detectionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A decadally-resolved paleohurricane record archived in the late Holocene sediments of a Florida sinkhole

Lane¹,

Donnelly²,

Woodruff³

et al. 2011

Marine Geology

139

221

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A 4500-year record of hurricane-induced storm surges is developed from sediment cores collected from a coastal sinkhole near Apalachee Bay, Florida. Recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 A.D. dataset. Using the historic portion of the record for calibration, paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models. Marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits. The presence and long-term preservation of offshore foraminifera suggest that this site and others like it may yield promising microfossil-based paleohurricane reconstructions in the future. Due to the sub-decadal (~ 7 year) resolution of the record and the site's high susceptibility to hurricane-generated storm surges, the average, local frequency of recorded events, approximately 3.9 storms per century, is greater than that of previously published paleohurricane records from the region. The high incidence of recorded events permitted a time series of local hurricane frequency during the last five millennia to be constructed. Variability in the frequency of the largest storm layers was found to be greater than what would likely occur by chance alone, with intervals of both anomalously high and low storm frequency identified. However, the rate at which smaller layers were deposited was relatively constant over the last five millennia. This may suggest that significant variability in hurricane frequency has occurred only in the highest magnitude events. The frequency of high magnitude events peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago. High magnitude events were relatively rare with about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 to 1600 years ago and between 400 to 150 years ago. A marked decline in the number of large storm deposits, which began around 600 years ago, has persisted through present with below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.

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Section: Event Detectionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A decadally-resolved paleohurricane record archived in the late Holocene sediments of a Florida sinkhole

Lane¹,

Donnelly²,

Woodruff³

et al. 2011

Marine Geology

139

221

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The timing of each event was compared to newspaper and publication reports of past tropical storms. Inundation signatures corresponded with dates of the known major hurricanes in HURDAT, the official National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration hurricane database (Landsea et al 2008). Furthermore, the verification process identified major rain events not associated with tropical storms.…”

Section: Hindcast Long-term Rainfallmentioning

confidence: 72%

Numerical computation of hurricane effects on historic coastal hydrology in Southern Florida

2015

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Introduction: Numerical models are critical for assessing the effects of sea level rise (SLR), hurricanes, and storm surge on vegetation change in the Everglades National Park. The model must be capable of representing short-timescale hydrodynamics, salinity transport, and groundwater interaction. However, there is also a strong need to adapt these numerical models to hindcast past conditions in order to examine long-term effects on the distribution of vegetation that cannot be determined using only the modern record.

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“…Colbert and Soden [8] and [65], respectively, showed ENSO and the Atlantic Meridional Mode impact cyclone track and intensity, largely explaining the temporal clustering of land-falling hurricanes in the US along the northeast Atlantic coast in the 1950s, along the mid-Atlantic coast in the 1990s, and along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast in the 2000s. As a simple example of the magnitude of this influence on extreme central pressures in the northern Gulf of Mexico, a sample of 5-year intervals from 1943 to 2012 HURDAT [49,51,52] was partitioned into two samples, one in which four or more storms originated or passed into an area anywhere north of 28°latitude during a 5-year interval and one in which less than this number occurred. The estimated 100-year central pressure was 924 mb for the case with lower storm numbers and 890 mb for the case of higher storm numbers.…”

Section: Nonstationary Considerations-decadal Variability and Long-tementioning

confidence: 99%

Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Risk

Resio

Irish

2015

Curr Clim Change Rep

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Tropical cyclone storm surge represents a significant threat to communities around the world. These surge characteristics vary spatially and temporally over a range of scales; therefore, conceptual frameworks for understanding and mitigating them must be cast within a context of risk that covers the complete range of hazards, their consequences, and methods for mitigation. A review of primary overlapping time scales and associated spatial scales for tropical cyclone surge hazards covers two scales of particular interest: (1) synopticscale predictions used for warnings and evacuation decisions and (2) long-term estimation of hazards and related risks needed for coastal planning and decision-making. Factors that can affect these estimates, such as episodic variations in tropical cyclone characteristics and longer-term climate change and sea-level rise are then examined in the context of their potential impacts on hazards and risks related to tropical cyclone surges.

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A Reanalysis of the 1911–20 Atlantic Hurricane Database

Cited by 98 publications

References 39 publications

A decadally-resolved paleohurricane record archived in the late Holocene sediments of a Florida sinkhole

A decadally-resolved paleohurricane record archived in the late Holocene sediments of a Florida sinkhole

Numerical computation of hurricane effects on historic coastal hydrology in Southern Florida

Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Risk

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