A Stochastic Non-linear Programming Model for a Multi-period Water Resource Allocation with Multiple Objectives

Higgins, Andrew; Archer, Ainsley; Hajkowicz, Stefan

doi:10.1007/s11269-007-9236-2

Cited by 40 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…The modelling tools that are used in water management generally take water availability as external forcing and do not include the feedbacks of the water use on the hydrological system (e.g. Higgins et al, 2008;Borgomeo et al, 2014). Like some global and lumped hydrological models mentioned before, many water management models are capable of simulating the effect of the allocation of water on hydrological processes also during drought, as was shown by Querner et al (2008) and Van Oel et al (2012), or simulating the influence of water management decisions on the evolution of a given drought scenario (e.g.…”

Section: Human Feedback Of Droughtmentioning

confidence: 99%

Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches

Loon

Stahl

Baldassarre

et al. 2016

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

352

245

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Abstract. In the current human-modified world, or Anthropocene, the state of water stores and fluxes has become dependent on human as well as natural processes. Water deficits (or droughts) are the result of a complex interaction between meteorological anomalies, land surface processes, and human inflows, outflows, and storage changes. Our current inability to adequately analyse and manage drought in many places points to gaps in our understanding and to inadequate data and tools. The Anthropocene requires a new framework for drought definitions and research. Drought definitions need to be revisited to explicitly include human processes driving and modifying soil moisture drought and hydrological drought development. We give recommendations for robust drought definitions to clarify timescales of drought and prevent confusion with related terms such as water scarcity and overexploitation. Additionally, our understanding and analysis of drought need to move from single driver to multiple drivers and from uni-directional to multi-directional. We identify research gaps and propose analysis approaches on (1) drivers, (2) modifiers, (3) impacts, (4) feedbacks, and (5) changing the baseline of drought in the Anthropocene. The most pressing research questions are related to the attribution of drought to its causes, to linking drought impacts to drought characteristics, and to societal adaptation and responses to drought. Example questions includePublished by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. Answering these questions requires exploration of qualitative and quantitative data as well as mixed modelling approaches. The challenges related to drought research and management in the Anthropocene are not unique to drought, but do require urgent attention. We give recommendations drawn from the fields of flood research, ecology, water management, and water resources studies. The framework presented here provides a holistic view on drought in the Anthropocene, which will help improve management strategies for mitigating the severity and reducing the impacts of droughts in future.

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Section: Human Feedback Of Droughtmentioning

confidence: 99%

Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches

Loon

Stahl

Baldassarre

et al. 2016

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

352

245

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In this paper, the uncertainty of spatial distribution of rainfall was simulated with a Monte Carlo (MC) method (Bobba et al 1996;Higgins et al 2008;Wu et al 2008) whereas the 50% Huff temporal pattern was employed for temporal distribution.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Derivation of Probabilistic Thresholds of Spatially Distributed Rainfall for Flood Forecasting

Golian

Saghafian

Maknoon

2010

Water Resour Manage

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Rainfall threshold" is considered as one of the evolving flood forecasting approaches. When the cumulative rainfall depth for a given initial soil moisture condition intersects the corresponding moisture curve, the peak discharge is expected to be equal or greater than the threshold discharge for flooding at the target site. Besides the total rainfall depth, spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall can influence the peak discharge and the time to peak. In the few past studies on the extraction of rainfall threshold curves for flood forecasting, the rainfall assumed to be uniform in space whereas the temporal distribution was subjected to certain assumptions. In the present study, the spatial distribution of rainfall was simulated with the Monte Carlo (MC) method and the mean Huff pattern for all rainfall durations was imposed for the temporal distribution. For each of the MC run, the random weight assigned to every sub-watershed follows the pdf of weights in historical rainfall events. The HEC-HMS model with two different infiltration methods namely SCS-CN and Green-Ampt and Muskingum river routing were adopted as the hydrologic model. After the calibration and validation of the model for Madarsoo watershed in Golestan province in Northeastern Iran, the MC simulations were performed for 1, 2, 6 and 12 h durations. The outputs from the SCS-CN method exhibit only a slight increase in threshold values with respect to duration and was not in the range of our expectations from watershed response, i.e. the rainfalls with greater durations should be greater in depth to produce a specific peak discharge. For the GreenAmpt infiltration method, the rainfall thresholds with 50% probability associated S. Golian et al. with the critical discharge under dry soil moisture condition were 44.5, 49.0, 64.2 and 94.6 mm for 1, 2, 6 and 12 h durations, respectively. Results for July 2001 flooding revealed that the cumulative rainfall intersected all 10%, 50% and 90% rainfall threshold curves but for July 2005 flooding the 10% curve was only intersected by the cumulative rainfall curve. The advantage of MC-derived rainfall threshold curves in real-time operations is that decision-makers have the flexibility to adopt a curve more consistent with flood observations in the region.

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“…First, since the total water resource is limited, a portion of scholars have built linear programing models to discuss how to allocate the limited water resource efficiently among multiple water users to achieve economic, social and environmental benefits with equilibrium constraints (Andrew et al, 2008;Mahdi, 2010;Wolfgang et al, 2013). Secondly, since water reclamation is an effective approach for water exploitation, a group of scholars have utilized a systematic framework to quantify the water reclamation potential to ensure water supply for socio-economic activities (Angelakis et al, 2003;Hong & Abbaspour, 2007;Apostolidis et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic simulation of water resource management focused on water allocation and water reclamation in Chinese mining cities

Lei

Sha

et al. 2016

Water Policy

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Mining cities have undergone the process of extensive exploitation, which always results in a series of water issues. Integrated water resource management is necessary in improving water supply, allocation and quality without damaging economic development. This article constructs a linear optimization model including a 'Top-Down' socio-economic mode, and 'Bottom-Up' water quality control and water supply-demand modes with integrated water resource management focused on water allocation and water reclamation. Based on computer simulation, the model can propose a water resource management under the constraints of water supply-demand and water quality control, and the model can precisely predict the influences of water resource management on economic development, water utilization and water quality. Taking Ordos, a Chinese national resource city, as a case study, this model addresses a detailed water resource management, including a water allocation plan among industries and water reclamation plan with technologies, selection, arrangement and subsidies. The implementation of water resource management can fulfill multiple objectives on water quantity, water quality and sustainable economic development. This study indicates that water resource management with a comprehensive dynamic model can be a maneuverable approach to realize the sustainable development of economic growth and water resource utilization, as well as formulate the regional development plan.

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A Stochastic Non-linear Programming Model for a Multi-period Water Resource Allocation with Multiple Objectives

Cited by 40 publications

References 33 publications

Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches

Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches

Derivation of Probabilistic Thresholds of Spatially Distributed Rainfall for Flood Forecasting

Dynamic simulation of water resource management focused on water allocation and water reclamation in Chinese mining cities

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