Accessibility modeling and evaluation: The TIGRIS XL land-use and transport interaction model for the Netherlands

Zondag, Barry; Bok, Michiel de; Geurs, Karst; Molenwijk, Eric

doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2014.06.001

Cited by 37 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…In addition, as a megalopolis in the process of rapid urbanization, urban development and planning and major infrastructure construction, the related policies of functional dispersal from the central city could have significant impacts on the formation and evolution of land use patterns in Beijing. Now, many LULC models, for instance generic urban models [54], the TIGRIS XL model [49] and the SILENT (the Sustainable Infrastructure, Land-Use, Environment and Transport) model [55], have transformed some policies, such as infrastructure or land use zoning, into spatial parameters in simulating and predicting land use demand, so this can help decision makers to anticipate the impacts of the proposed policy. However, in this study, we do not consider the effects of various policy factors in the simulation process.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Since then, other scholars proposed an urban spatial equilibrium model by combining spatial economics and the LUTI model, such as the TRANUS model (an integrated land use/transportation model was developed by Barra et al,) [44], which was mainly used to assess the social-economic impact of planning policy in a large spatial scale [45]. Due to the lower spatial precision of the macroscopic model, it was not conducive to capturing the individual behavior activities, so someone proposed spatial non-equilibrium models with macroscopic and microscopic characteristics, such as the IRPUD model (The model was initially designed and implemented at the Institute of Spatial Planning of the University of Dortmund) [46], the DELTA model (The model has been developed by Simmonds, which was used to extend relatively conventional transport models into land-use/transport interaction) [47], the UrbanSim model [48] and TIGRIS XL model (an land-use and transport interaction model for the Netherlands is developed for and owned by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment and the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency) [49]. The research objects of these models were still urban land and traffic system, but they adopted a bottom-up method.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China

2015

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Land use and land cover (LULC) models are essential for analyzing LULC change and predicting land use requirements and are valuable for guiding reasonable land use planning and management. However, each LULC model has its own advantages and constraints. In this paper, we explore the characteristics of LULC change and simulate future land use demand by combining a CLUE-S model with a Markov model to deal with some shortcomings of existing LULC models. Using Beijing as a case study, we describe the related driving factors from land-adaptive variables, regional spatial variables and socio-economic variables and then simulate future land use scenarios from 2010 to 2020, which include a development scenario (natural development and rapid development) and protection scenarios (ecological and cultivated land protection). The results indicate good consistency between predicted results and actual land use situations according to a Kappa statistic. The conversion of cultivated land to urban built-up land will form the primary features of LULC change in the future. The prediction for land use demand shows the differences under different scenarios. At higher elevations, the geographical environment limits the expansion of urban built-up land, but the conversion of cultivated land to built-up land in mountainous areas will be more prevalent by 2020; Beijing, however, still faces the most pressure in terms of ecological and cultivated land protection.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China

2015

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“…accessibility, adjacent property values, etc.) and performed detailed analysis related to this area (Karou & Hull, 2014;Zondag, de Bok, Geurs, & Molenwijk, 2015 among others). However, there are few studies incorporating all of the possible externalities into their analysis.…”

Section: Evaluation Methodology: Impact Assessment Of Transport-land-mentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario Analysis of Alternative Land Development Patterns for the Leipzig-Halle Region: Implications for Transport-Land-Use Sustainability

Ustaoglu

Williams

Petrov

2017

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The objective of this paper is to present alternative land development scenarios for the sustainability impact assessment of transport-land-use relationship in the Leipzig-Halle Region. Using the MOLAND Model that was applied to a declining urban region for the first time, two different land-use scenarios were developed representing a baseline dispersed development and an alternative compact development case. The assessment of land-use-transport relationships is carried out incorporating the use of social, economic and environmental indicators. The impacts and indicators were specified and evaluated subject to a quantitative and qualitative assessment. The findings imply that a compact development scenario is preferable over dispersed development scenario in terms of potential quantitative data on the benefits to the environment and society. In contrast, dispersed development in the baseline case indicates the costs of such development exceed the benefits. The results of this type of scenario analysis provide an objective evidence basis in policy evaluation and decisions regarding future urban developments. This research was developed from several scenarios created with the key stakeholders of the Leipzig-Halle Region from research originally conducted as part of the PLUREL Project in 2012 and updated in 2016. It aims at contributing to literature by providing a sustainability assessment framework for rapid rail infrastructure provision that incorporates socio-economic and environmental impact assessment of alternative future urban form scenarios into the analysis. In addition, due to MOLAND features, it provides the opportunity for the sustainability impact assessment of different forms of urban development linked with transport infrastructure provision in the Region and compare the findings with other case study areas in Europe and internationally.

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“…In a LUTI model the two components are inter-linked: the land-use indicators, such as the population and employment forecast, are used by the transport component to generate demands for transport; the travel time and costs forecast by the transport component, derived from the demand and supply of transport, are used in the land-use model to calculate urban accessibilities, which in turn leads to land-use change. LUTI models have traditionally been used to simulate the possible effects of new policies or projects (especially those related to transport) on existing urban systems (Zondag et al, 2015;Aljoufie, 2014;Echenique et al, 2012;Wegener, 2004;Foot, 1981;Lowry, 1964). This research is intended to develop an activity-based LUTI model to forecast the change of urban activity and rent patterns and test polycentric development policies.…”

Section: Model Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Integrated Land Use and Transport Model to Examine Polycentric Policies of Beijing

Niu

Liu

Chen

2018

IRSPSD International

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Abstract:Beijing's fast urban growth has caused serious traffic congestion and great environmental damage. The government plans to develop sub-centres in its metropolitan area to ease the pressures associated with being a sole, centralized city service provider. This has been formalized in its recently published master plan, the 'Beijing City Master Plan (BCMP), 2004-2020' (BCMP), which targets the formation of the city plan up to 2020. This study develops a general land-use and transport interaction model to forecast the housing rent distribution based on the present land-use policies and examines whether the objective of decentralized multi-centres can be achieved based on a 'business as usual' scenario. Modelling results show that as of 2020 there will be no sub-centres formed around urban Beijing. Some zones demonstrate the potential to become sub-centres with higher rent increases than the surrounding zones. However, the distribution of these potential zones has a different spatial pattern from what the master plan anticipates. This work may well provide a modelling tool for China's decision makers to examine land-use policies before putting them into practice.

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Accessibility modeling and evaluation: The TIGRIS XL land-use and transport interaction model for the Netherlands

Cited by 37 publications

References 21 publications

Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China

Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China

Scenario Analysis of Alternative Land Development Patterns for the Leipzig-Halle Region: Implications for Transport-Land-Use Sustainability

An Integrated Land Use and Transport Model to Examine Polycentric Policies of Beijing

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