Adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture: an analysis of potential synergies

Rosenzweig, Cynthia; Tubiello, Francesco N.

doi:10.1007/s11027-007-9103-8

Cited by 228 publications

(156 citation statements)

References 52 publications

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“…Compared to the historical baseline, the 50% probability total grain yield by the 2070s is projected to increase 23-37% for RCP 4.5 and 35-71% for RCP 8.5 depending on the AEC, with CC showing the greatest absolute increase and CF showing greatest relative increase compare to baseline yields. Based on limited studies in the IPNW, yields of wheatbased systems are projected to benefit from climate change for most of this century, with the degree of benefit depending on RCP (Thomson et al, 2002;Rosenzweig and Tubiello, 2007;Stöckle et al, 2010). Although, the yield response to future temperature changes can be fairly uncertain (Asseng et al, 2015), the moderate current temperatures in the region and earlier crop maturity under future conditions will mitigate deleterious effects of temperature on crop yields.…”

Section: Yields and Crop Water Usementioning

confidence: 99%

“…One weakness of the study is the use of a single crop model for yield projections, although the CropSyst model has been used extensively in wheat studies in the IPNW (Pannkuk et al, 1998;Peralta and Stöckle, 2002;Stöckle et al, 2010; and around the world, Pala et al, 1996;Sommer et al, 2013;Donatelli et al, 2015;Holzkämper et al, 2015;O'Leary et al, 2015). Previous studies conducted with other models have also shown positive impacts of climate change in the region (Thomson et al, 2002;Rosenzweig and Tubiello, 2007). Furthermore, a study of winter wheat production in the IPNW using 5 well-established cropping system models calibrated for the region and downloaded weather from 14 GCMs also reported improved winter wheat yields throughout the century, with CropSyst consistently producing more conservative projections than the mean of the ensemble of the 5 crop models (Ahmed et al, under review).…”

Section: Aec Classification Based On Yield Percentilesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Projected Dryland Cropping System Shifts in the Pacific Northwest in Response to Climate Change

et al. 2017

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Section: Yields and Crop Water Usementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Aec Classification Based On Yield Percentilesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected Dryland Cropping System Shifts in the Pacific Northwest in Response to Climate Change

et al. 2017

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“…The actions of adjusting practices or adaptation strategies to extreme climate events can largely dominate the agricultural production (Smit and Skinner, 2002;Rosenzweig and Tubiello, 2007;Fosu-Mensah et al, 2012). Generally, local managers and farmers will design adaptation measures according to the crop exposure to adverse climatic hazards and past risk management experience.…”

Section: Effects and Improvement Potential Of The Adaptation In Northmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying the impact of multi-hazards on crop yield—A case for heat stress and dry stress on winter wheat yield in northern China

Chen

Zhang

Wang

et al. 2016

European Journal of Agronomy

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a b s t r a c tWinter wheat production in northern China severely suffered from high temperatures and low relative humidity. However, the spatio-temporal pattern of heat stress and dry stress and the impacts of these multi-hazards on winter wheat yield have rarely been investigated. Using historical climate data, phenology data and yield records from 1980 to 2008, an analysis was performed to characterize the spatio-temporal variability of heat stress and dry stress in the post-heading stages of wheat growth in northern China. Additionally, these stresses' impacts on winter wheat yield fluctuations were evaluated. Spatially, the central and northern parts of northern China have seen more serious heat stress, while greater dry stress has been observed in the northwest and north of the research area. Temporally, the heat stress has increased in the western part but decreased in the central and eastern parts of research area. Dry stress has aggravated in the entire northern China during the past decades, indicating the complexity of the exposure to adverse climate conditions. These two hazards (heat stress and dry stress) have contributed significant yield loss (up to 1.28% yield yr −1 ) in most parts of the research region. The yield in the west was more sensitive to heat stress, and dry stress was the main hazard in the south. Additionally, the opposite spatial pattern between the sensitivity and exposure revealed that the climate is not the only factor controlling the yield fluctuation, the local adaptation measures used to mitigate negative influences of extreme events should not be ignored. In general, this study highlighted a focus on the impacts of multi-hazards on agricultural production, and an equal importance of considering local adaptation ability during the evaluation of agricultural risk in the future. Additionally, paying more attention to higher sensitive areas and to more reasonable and practical adaptive strategies is critical and significant for food supply security.

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“…Mitigation actions tend to focus on the energy, transport, and industry sectors, while the sectors most vulnerable to climate change and of concern to adaptation decision makers are usually agriculture, land use, forestry, and coastal zone management (Huq and Grubb 2007). However, there is certainly potential for overlap at the sectoral level; for example, adaptation policies in the agriculture, land use, and forestry sectors carry implications for CO 2 sequestration and avoid methane emissions (Dang and others 2003;Rozenweig and Tubiello 2007).…”

Section: Existing Work On Linking Mitigation and Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Value of Linking Mitigation and Adaptation: A Case Study of Bangladesh

Ayers

Huq

2008

Environmental Management

136

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There are two principal strategies for managing climate change risks: mitigation and adaptation. Until recently, mitigation and adaptation have been considered separately in both climate change science and policy. Mitigation has been treated as an issue for developed countries, which hold the greatest responsibility for climate change, while adaptation is seen as a priority for the South, where mitigative capacity is low and vulnerability is high. This conceptual divide has hindered progress against the achievement of the fundamental sustainable development challenges of climate change. Recent attention to exploring the synergies between mitigation and adaptation suggests that an integrated approach could go some way to bridging the gap between the development and adaptation priorities of the South and the need to achieve global engagement in mitigation. These issues are explored through a case study analysis of climate change policy and practice in Bangladesh. Using the example of waste-to-compost projects, a mitigation-adaptation-development nexus is demonstrated, as projects contribute to mitigation through reducing methane emissions; adaptation through soil improvement in drought-prone areas; and sustainable development, because poverty is exacerbated when climate change reduces the flows of ecosystem services. Further, linking adaptation to mitigation makes mitigation action more relevant to policymakers in Bangladesh, increasing engagement in the international climate change agenda in preparation for a post-Kyoto global strategy. This case study strengthens the argument that while combining mitigation and adaptation is not a magic bullet for climate policy, synergies, particularly at the project level, can contribute to the sustainable development goals of climate change and are worth exploring.

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Adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture: an analysis of potential synergies

Abstract: Adaptation, Agriculture, Climate change impacts, Mitigation, Regional disparities, Synergies, Tradeoffs,

Cited by 228 publications

References 52 publications

Projected Dryland Cropping System Shifts in the Pacific Northwest in Response to Climate Change

Projected Dryland Cropping System Shifts in the Pacific Northwest in Response to Climate Change

Identifying the impact of multi-hazards on crop yield—A case for heat stress and dry stress on winter wheat yield in northern China

The Value of Linking Mitigation and Adaptation: A Case Study of Bangladesh

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