2017
DOI: 10.1002/for.2470
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Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance

Abstract: Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Various actors regularly publish forecasts for Swedish GDP, among others the Swedish central bank, the Riksbank, other government agencies and commercial banks. These published forecasts are regularly evaluated, thereby taking into account the publication timing and, hence, the differing amounts of available information (Andersson et al 2017). Typically, the average yearly growth rates of GDP are evaluated, that is, each year's four quarters average of year-on-year growth rates.…”
Section: Comparing Swedish Gdp Forecastsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Various actors regularly publish forecasts for Swedish GDP, among others the Swedish central bank, the Riksbank, other government agencies and commercial banks. These published forecasts are regularly evaluated, thereby taking into account the publication timing and, hence, the differing amounts of available information (Andersson et al 2017). Typically, the average yearly growth rates of GDP are evaluated, that is, each year's four quarters average of year-on-year growth rates.…”
Section: Comparing Swedish Gdp Forecastsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Hence, the cost of releasing a biased forecast should be approaching infinity for period one, but not for period two. See, for example,Andersson et al (2017) for an analysis of the relationship between horizon and forecast error when forecasting annual growth rates.16 These assumptions about the voters' utility allow for an electorate that is not too polarized, so that at least some voters can be persuaded by the forecasts.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%