Agent-based modelling of alternative futures in the British land use system

Abstract

 A national-scale agent-based model is developed to represent paired climatic and socioeconomic scenarios in the land system. Key scenario characteristics relate to forms of human behavior, interactions and societal preferences. Large differences emerge between scenarios in terms of land management intensities, ecosystem service provision and land sparing.

A data-driven reconstruction of global land use change : Dynamics, drivers and impacts

“…Methods and data from the work on this thesis will contribute to modelling the future of the German land system under consideration of different CDR measures (afforestation, reforestation, forest management, BECCS) within the STEPSEC project. For this, an agent-based land use modelling framework CRAFTY (Competition for Resources between Agent Functional Types; Brown et al, 2022a;Murray-Rust et al, 2014) will be applied and refined for the context of land-based CDR measures in Germany. The development of the German application of the model, CRAFTY-DE, also includes a stakeholder engagement as well as the checking of the model baseline against the historical land use data from HILDA+.…”