2020
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-106912/v1
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Agricultural Grain Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis, Insights From a GVARModel

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to combine cross-commodity and spatial price transmission analysis to study the dynamics of the global cereal feed market during the COVID-19 pandemic. After reviewing the nascent literature on the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural markets, we discuss the different impact channels on prices. Then we provide stylized market reactions of three relevant feed markets, wheat, barley and maize to a set of simulated possible future shocks on oil prices, stock-to-use ratios, and export … Show more

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