Agriculture

Eigenbrode, Sanford D.; Capalbo, Susan M.; Houston, Laurie; Johnson‐Maynard, Jodi; Kruger, Chad E.; Olen, Beau

doi:10.5822/978-1-61091-512-0_6

Cited by 14 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…These changes will have both positive and negative impacts on the region's agricultural production, dependent on the location as well as the fruit species and cultivars being produced. One positive effect will be increasing CO2 levels in the atmosphere which is expected to have a beneficial fertilization effect on most commodities, at least until mid-twenty-first century (Eigenbrode et al 2013). However, some of these benefits may be offset by increased pest pressures, heat stress, and water shortages linked to shifting climate zones.…”

Section: Fruit Crop Vulnerabilities and Expected Changes In The Northmentioning

confidence: 99%

Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate

et al. 2017

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Specialty fruit crops represent a substantial portion of the value of agricultural production in the Pacific Northwest. Climate change may threaten water sources, lengthen the dry season, raise temperatures during both the winter chilling period and the growing season, and facilitate the spread of fungal diseases and insects. Such changes have the potential to substantially reduce net returns due to increased input costs and altered yields and product quality. Many management strategies that are already being used to prolong growing seasons in marginal production areas and to improve production and quality in established production regions may also be useful as adaptation strategies under a changing climate. These strategies mostly involve moderating temperatures and controlling or compensating for mismatches between phenology and seasonal weather conditions.

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Section: Fruit Crop Vulnerabilities and Expected Changes In The Northmentioning

confidence: 99%

Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate

et al. 2017

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“…77,78 Improved modeling of climate stressors on yields and crop quality will likely enhance the understanding of climate change effects and inform adaptation options 36 and assist in addressing farmers' concerns about future pest and pathogen impacts in the region. 79,80 Water shortfalls are also likely to continue during drought periods despite adaptation efforts focused on water efficiency and reducing water usage (Ch. 3: Water, KM 1).…”

Section: Challenges Opportunities and Success Stories For Reducing Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fourth Oregon climate assessment report. State of climate science : 2019

Mote¹,

Abatzoglou²,

Dello³

et al. 2019

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This report, required by state law under HB3543, provides a comprehensive assessment of the state of science of climate change as it pertains to Oregon, covering the physical, biological, and social dimensions. The first chapter summarizes the current state of knowledge of physical changes in climate and hydrology, focusing on the period since the previous Oregon Climate Assessment Report (OCAR3, Dalton et al. 2017); and the second chapter covers the impacts. The second chapter is, verbatim, the Northwest chapter of the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) which was released by the federal government November 23, 2018. It is available for download separately: https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/downloads/NCA4_Ch24_Northwest_Full.pdf

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“…One of the consequences of projected climatic changes is a potential increase in frequency and intensity of regional agricultural pest outbreaks [1][2][3]. Consequently, pest management is to remain a high priority for the industry, as well as public agencies involved in regulatory aspects of agricultural pest management [4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Smart Pest Management

Elbakidze

et al. 2022

Sustainability

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This study examines the role of weather and pest infestation forecasts in agricultural pest management, taking into account potential correlation between weather and pest population prediction errors. First, we analytically illustrate the role of the correlation between weather and pest infestation forecast errors in pest management using a stochastic optimal control framework. Next, using stochastic dynamic programming, we empirically simulate optimal pest management trajectory within a growing season, taking into account correlation between weather and pest population prediction errors. We used lentil production in the Palouse area of northern Idaho and eastern Washington as a case study, where pesticide use was restricted due to environmental or health reasons. We showed that the benefit of applying pesticides later in the growing season can outweigh benefits of early application when pesticide use is restricted due to environmental or health regulations. The value of information is close to $9 per acre, approximately 8% of the expected net returns per acre, and close to $12 per acre ($106–$94), or approximately 13% of the expected net returns per acre for the baseline versus the climate change scenarios, respectively.

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Agriculture

Cited by 14 publications

References 60 publications

Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate

Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate

Fourth Oregon climate assessment report. State of climate science : 2019

Climate Smart Pest Management

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