Ailes, Roger (1940–)

Verser, Rebecca

doi:10.4135/9781412953993.n14

Cited by 1 publication

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“…Accounting for uncertainty in price projections is important for the same reason, as projections are not known with complete certainty even when price volatility is not considered. building a commercial-scale facility in Oregon that will employ a similar process for the conversion of acetic acid to ethanol, the company's acetic acid is produced via biomass dilute acid hydrolysis and fermentation of the resulting substrate (138). Since there are no TEAs of that specific biochemical pathway for the production of acetic acid in the literature, Scenario 3 considers the related thermochemical pathway (71).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying the economic competitiveness of cellulosic biofuel pathways under uncertainty and regional sensitivity

Brown¹

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This paper calculates 20-year net present values (NPV) and 10-year probabilities of default for six cellulosic biofuel pathways under eight location scenarios. Each location scenario resembles one of the nine commercial-scale cellulosic biofuel projects planned in the U.S. at the end of 2012 and accounts for location-specific factors such as capital costs, feedstock type, feedstock costs, energy commodity prices, and state corporate income tax rates. Negative 20-year NPVs and low probabilities of positive NPVs are calculated for seven of the eight location scenarios. Very high (>98%) probabilities of default are also calculated for seven of the eight location scenarios, while every scenario is calculated to have a probability of default above 50% over 10 years.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying the economic competitiveness of cellulosic biofuel pathways under uncertainty and regional sensitivity

Brown¹

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Ailes, Roger (1940–)

Cited by 1 publication

References 0 publications

Quantifying the economic competitiveness of cellulosic biofuel pathways under uncertainty and regional sensitivity

Quantifying the economic competitiveness of cellulosic biofuel pathways under uncertainty and regional sensitivity

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