Air temperature and suicides in Astana, Kazakhstan: a time-series analysis

Grjibovski, AM; Kozhakhmetova, G; Nurgaliyeva, N; Адильбекова, Б Б; Kosbayeva, Aliya; Menne, Bettina

doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckt124.052

Cited by 2 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…A study from Australia which was also done on a weekly basis, used four regression methods and found an association between the incidence of salmonellosis and 2-week lagged maximum temperature in the standard Poisson regression model (ß=0.015, CI: 0.003,0.027), in multiple linear regression (ß=0.02, CI: 0.01,0.03), in seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average and (ß=0.025, P < 0.0001) in autoregressive adjusted Poisson regression (ß=0.017, CI: 0.011,0.024) [8]. In a study conducted in Kazakhstan, by using time series analysis, for every 1 °C increase in temperature, the incidence of Salmonellosis increased 5.3 % (2.1-8.6 %) in the same month [10].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Numerous studies have shown an association between climate and food born disease such as salmonellosis [7][8][9][10][11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Due to the complex and multi-factorial nature of salmonella infections, which might also be related to human behavior and environmental factors, the impact of meteorological factors on disease progress is relatively difficult to predict [18]. In recent years, several studies have used statistical models to evaluate the effect of environmental factors on salmonellosis [10,11,14,[19][20][21][22].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The effect of meteorological variables on salmonellosis incidence in Kermanshah, West of Iran: a generalized linear model with negative binomial approach

Nili

Khanjani

Bakhtiari

et al. 2021

J Environ Health Sci Engineer

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Purpose Salmonella is one of the main causes of gastroenteritis, and its incidence may be affected by meteorological variables. This is the first study about the effect of climatic factors on salmonella incidence in Kermanshah, Iran. Methods Data about salmonellosis cases in Kermanshah were inquired from Center for Communicable Disease Control, at the Ministry of Health and Medical Education of Iran, for the 2008 to 2018 time-frame. Meteorological variables including maximum, minimum and mean of temperature and humidity, sunshine hours and rainfall were inquired for the same time frame. Negative binomial generalized linear models (GLM) were used to assess the effect of meteorological variables on the weekly incidence of salmonellosis.Results During the years under study, 569 confirmed cases were registered in Kermanshah province. Study results showed a 3 % increase in salmonellosis incidence, after 1 % increase in minimum humidity in the week before (incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.03; 95 % confidence interval (CI):1.02-1.05) and also a 4 % increase in incidence for 1 °C increase in mean temperature in the same week (IRR: 1.04; 95 % CI:1.02-1.06). Conclusions Increase in minimum humidity and mean temperature may have a role in increasing the incidence of salmonellosis in Iran.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Numerous studies have shown an association between climate and food born disease such as salmonellosis [7][8][9][10][11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The effect of meteorological variables on salmonellosis incidence in Kermanshah, West of Iran: a generalized linear model with negative binomial approach

Nili

Khanjani

Bakhtiari

et al. 2021

J Environ Health Sci Engineer

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“…(2015) controls for sunlight exposure and finds that the relationship between seasonality and suicide remain, suggesting the seasonal nature of suicide is unrelated to light. Indeed, related research suggests this seasonal pattern is driven by changes in temperature rather than sunlight (Dixon et al., 2014; Dixon & Kalkstein, 2018; Doganay et al., 2003; Grjibovski et al., 2013; Likhvar et al., 2011; Qi et al., 2014; Toro et al., 2009). So, while the prevailing literature is not entirely clear, it suggests that increases in light exposure should reduce suicide, so long as the change is independent from changes in weather.…”

Section: Daylight Saving Time and The Causal Pathways To Deaths From ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Saving light, losing lives: How daylight saving time impacts deaths from suicide and substance abuse

Osborne-Christenson

2022

Health Economics

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For the first time since 1915-1917, life expectancy in the United States fell for three consecutive years between 2015 and 2017. This was largely due to a dramatic rise in suicides and deaths from drug or alcohol overdose and abuse. In 2017 alone, more than 150,000 American died from one of these so-called "deaths of despair" (DoD), representing a six percent increase from 2016 and a more than 100% increase since 1999 (see Figure 1). All told, accidental deaths including those related to drug and alcohol overdose are now the third leading cause of death in the United States while suicide is ranked 10th. 1 This epidemic was first considered by Case and Deaton (2015, 2017. The authors, who coined the phrase "deaths of despair", specifically focus on working age, less educated, non-Hispanic white men, whom Case and Deaton show have been most impacted by DoD since the early 1990's. 2 The authors point to an increase in globalization, healthcare costs, and automation as the underlying drivers of DoD. They argue that these caused decreasing real wages and a decline in attachment to the labor market, both of which contribute to feelings of hopelessness.The initial works by Deaton (2015, 2017) have spawned a robust literature. For example, Dow et al. ( 2020) leverages state-level variation in minimum wage policies to show that a 10% increase in minimum wage reduces suicide by 2.7% but does not change substance related deaths. Monnat (2020) shows that living outside a metro area makes a person more vulnerable to these deaths, and that mortality rate growth for women is particularly concerning. Tilstra et al. (2021) shows that

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Air temperature and suicides in Astana, Kazakhstan: a time-series analysis

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

The effect of meteorological variables on salmonellosis incidence in Kermanshah, West of Iran: a generalized linear model with negative binomial approach

The effect of meteorological variables on salmonellosis incidence in Kermanshah, West of Iran: a generalized linear model with negative binomial approach

Saving light, losing lives: How daylight saving time impacts deaths from suicide and substance abuse

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