The California Air Resources Board recently adopted regulations for light-and medium-duty vehicles that require reductions in the ozone-forming potential or "reactivity," rather than the mass, of nonmethane organic gas (NMOG) emissions. The regulations allow sale of all alternatively fueled vehicles (AFVs) that meet NMOG exhaust emission standards equivalent in reactivity to those set for vehicles fueled with conventional gasoline. Reactivity adjustment factors (RAFs), the ratio of the reactivity (per gram) of the AFV exhaust to that of the conventionally fueled vehicle (CFV), are used to correct the stringent exhaust emission standards. Complete chemical speciation of the exhaust and conversion of each NMOG species to an appropriate mass of ozone using the maximum incremental reactivity (MIR) scale of Carter determines the RAF. The MIR approach defines reactivity where NMOG control is the most effective strategy in reducing ozone concentrations, and assumes it is not important to define reactivity at other conditions, i.e., where NO X is the limiting precursor.This study used the Carnegie/California Institute of Technology airshed model to evaluate whether the RAF-adjusted AFV emissions result in ozone impacts equivalent to those of CFV emissions. A matrix of two ozone episodes in the South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB) of California, two base emission inventories, and exhaust emissions from three alternative fuels that meet the first level of the low emission vehicle standards bounds the expected range of conditions. Although very good agreement was found previously for individual NMOG species, 2 this study noted deviations of up to ±15 percent from the equal ozone impacts for any vehicle/fuel combination required by the California regulations. These deviations appear to be attributable to differences in spatial and temporal patterns of emissions between vehicle fleets, rather than a problem with the MIR approach. The first formally adopted RAF, a value of 0.41 for 85 percent methanol/15 percent gasoline-fueled vehicles, includes a 10 percent increase based on the airshed modeling. The correction to the RAF is different for other fuels and may be different for air basins other than the SoCAB.
ImplicationsStringent "low emission vehicle" regulations recently adopted by the California Air Resources Board to reduce ozone precursor emissions are "fuel neutral" in the sense that reactivity adjustment factors {RAFs) are used to relax the standards for fuel/vehicle combinations with exhaust emissions having a lower ozone-forrning potential {per unit mass) than those fueled with conventional gasoline. This study uses the Carnegie/California Institute of Technology airshed model for a range ot ozone episodes and base emission inventories to evaluate whether the RAFs for alternative fuels computed with the maximum incremental reactivity (MIR) scale lead to ozone impacts equal to those of conventional gasoline for the first level of the low emission vehicle standards. The RAFs need corrections of \ip to ...15 percent, dependin...