Alternative Pasts, Possible Futures: A "What If" Study of the Effects of Fertility on the Canadian Population and Labour Force

Denton, Frank T.; Feaver, Christine H.; Spencer, Byron G.

doi:10.2307/3552231

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Other measures confirm that immigration has only a small effect; thus, for instance, simulating population change after 1951 as a function only of births and deaths produced a 1981 population with an average age that was only 0.5 years older than the actual average observed in that year (Le Bras, 1991). As another example, with no international migration over the period 1951-2001, median age in Canada would have been only 0.8 years older than it actually was (Denton, Feaver, & Spencer, 2001). The Statistics Canada (1990) population projections based on the 1986 Census produced a median age in 2036 that was almost 2 years younger under high immigration than under zero immigration.…”

Section: The Changing Demographic Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Probing the Future of Mandatory Retirement in Canada

2006

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Abstract:The future of mandatory retirement is at least partly driven by the changing demographics. In Canada, these demographics include slowing population growth, rapid ageing, declining rates of labour force participation, and slowing growth of the labour force. After reviewing the demographic trends and considering alternate scenarios in labour force participation, we consider the determinants of early departures from the labour force, and suggest scenarios that might reverse these trends. With a decline in labour force entrants, delays in early life transitions and possible reductions in retirement benefits, a trend to retire later would bring mandatory retirement into question.

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Section: The Changing Demographic Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Probing the Future of Mandatory Retirement in Canada

2006

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Measures of Fiscal Dependency

Ruggeri

Zou

2006

Public Finance Review

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There is a concern in many countries that projected increases in the population age sixty-five and older will impose unsustainable burdens on future generations. These fiscal pressures are often expressed with reference to population dependency ratios. The authors argue that concerns about fiscal sustainability may be legitimate, but the use of population dependency ratios as indicators of fiscal pressures is not. They develop an approach to this issue that includes (1) a comprehensive coverage of the public sector, (2) a new methodology for capturing the fiscal effects of population aging, and (3) the integration of demographic, economic, and fiscal variables. This approach is applied to the Canadian fiscal system for the period from 2002-2003 to 2025- 2026. The results indicate that the current fiscal system is sustainable over the long run and does not incorporate intergenerational inequities.

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How Should We Administer Population Aging? A Canadian Comparison

Marier¹

2013

International Journal of Canadian Studies

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Alternative Pasts, Possible Futures: A "What If" Study of the Effects of Fertility on the Canadian Population and Labour Force

Cited by 4 publications

References 18 publications

Probing the Future of Mandatory Retirement in Canada

Probing the Future of Mandatory Retirement in Canada

Measures of Fiscal Dependency

How Should We Administer Population Aging? A Canadian Comparison

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