2003
DOI: 10.1080/01926230390228940
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An Alternative Perspective: A Critical Evaluation of the Waddell Threshold Extrapolation Model in Chemical Carcinogenesis

Abstract: In a recent Perspective article (Toxicologic Pathology 31: 260-262, 2003) Waddell asserts that he has developed a log linear extrapolation model that can demonstrate a threshold and resolve for once and for all the uncertainies associated with low dose cancer risk extrapolation. However, his method essentially forces, rather than demonstrates, a threshold, and has many serious flaws that result in significant under-estimation of low dose risk. It would be a serious mistake for the scientific community to adop… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Application of Waddell's log linear extrapolation procedure would produce a threshold dose of 47.8 mg/kg, well above a dose (37.5 mg/kg) observed to produce a significant ( p < 0.05) increase in cancer risk. Other similar examples could be cited using both real and hypothetical data (3,4) to illustrate the artifactually high "thresholds" produced by the Waddell log linear extrapolation method.…”
Section: Response To Waddell and Rozmanmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Application of Waddell's log linear extrapolation procedure would produce a threshold dose of 47.8 mg/kg, well above a dose (37.5 mg/kg) observed to produce a significant ( p < 0.05) increase in cancer risk. Other similar examples could be cited using both real and hypothetical data (3,4) to illustrate the artifactually high "thresholds" produced by the Waddell log linear extrapolation method.…”
Section: Response To Waddell and Rozmanmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The letters of Waddell (8) and Rozman (6) provide an excellent illustration of why their log linear threshold-based extrapolation model has received such broad-based criticism from statisticians/risk assessors (1)(2)(3)(4), toxicologists (5), and chemists. Waddell and Rozman attempt to dismiss such criticism as reflecting a lack of understanding of the fundamental laws of chemistry, whereas in fact their letters (6,8) reveal a somewhat simplistic view of chemical carcinogenesis and the risk assessment process.…”
Section: Response To Waddell and Rozmanmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The software package Graph Pad, for instance, suggests using a value about 2 log units below the lowest``real'' X value on a log X scale. The presentation of data using dose metrics and its eŠect on low dose extrapolation has resulted in considerable debate between Waddell and others (26)(27)(28)(29)(30)(31)(32)(33)(34)(35)(36).…”
Section: Transformationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The qualitative and quantitative analyses of the rodent bioassay, especially with more meaningful data on low-dose effects (Haseman, 2003) will give a clue to their human carcinogenic potential. Non-genotoxic carcinogens will be evaluated by short to subchronic studies in combination with molecular pathology (Boorman et al, 2002;Preston, 2002).…”
Section: Comments On Tobacco-smoke Carcinogenesismentioning
confidence: 99%