An Assessment of Long-Term Risk of Recidivism By Adult Sex Offenders: One Size Doesn’t fIt All

Parent, Geneviève; Guay, Jean‐Pierre; Knight, Raymond A.

doi:10.1177/0093854810388238

Cited by 63 publications

(90 citation statements)

References 55 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The predictive validity of the Static-99 for sexual recidivism is among the best in the field of sexual aggression (Barbaree, Seto, Langton, & Peacock, 2001;Parent, Guay, & Knight, 2011). In a study by Parent et al (2011), the Static-99 had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.71 when predicting the sexual recidivism risk of sex offenders.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In a study by Parent et al (2011), the Static-99 had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.71 when predicting the sexual recidivism risk of sex offenders. In their study, sexual recidivism was better predicted by the Static-99 than by any other instrument (Table II).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…First, the scale does not predict nonsexual violent and non-sexual non-violent recidivism as well as it does sexual recidivism (Parent et al, 2011). Furthermore, some studies have shown that the Static-99 is more effective with sexual aggressors of children than with sexual aggressors of women (Bartosh, Garby, Lewis, & Grey, 2003;Brouillette-Alarie & Proulx, 2008;Parent et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Predictive validity of the Static-99R and its dimensions

Brouillette‐Alarie¹,

Proulx²

2013

Journal of Sexual Aggression

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The aims of the current paper were to identify dimensions of the Static-99R, the most commonly used sex-offender actuarial scale, and to test their predictive validity. Exploratory factor analysis extracted three dimensions from the scale: sexual criminality, general criminality and detachment. Cox regression analyses revealed that different actuarial dimensions predicted different recidivism outcomes; sexual criminality predicted only sexual recidivism, while general criminality predicted only non-sexual violent recidivism and non-sexual non-violent recidivism. Detachment had an inconsistent predictive validity. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses indicated that the latest Static-99 revision, the Static-99R, outperformed its predecessor in virtually every way. These same analyses revealed that the Static-99R was as effective with sexual aggressors of women as with sexual aggressors of children.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Predictive validity of the Static-99R and its dimensions

Brouillette‐Alarie¹,

Proulx²

2013

Journal of Sexual Aggression

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Some comparative studies of multiple instruments have included general risk assessment tools even though the primary interest was in the predictive validity of sexual recidivism by sexual offenders (e.g., gretton, McBride, Hare, O'Shaughnessy, & Kumka, 2001;Hanson & Bussière, 1998;Hanson & Harris, 2000b;Hanson & Morton-Bourgon, 2009;Hanson & Thornton, 2000;Parent, guay, & Knight, 2011). This strategy seems to have been partly driven by findings that sexual offenders recidivate more frequently for nonsexual offenses, including violent and property offenses, than they do for sexual offenses (e.g., Hanson & Morton-Bourgon, 2005;Harris & Hanson, 2004;Prentky, Lee, Knight, & Cerce, 1997).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The Predictive Validity of a General Risk/Needs Assessment Inventory on Sexual Offender Recidivism and an Exploration of the Professional Override

Wormith

Hogg

Guzzo³

2012

Criminal Justice and Behavior

116

138

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study examines the predictive validity of the Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (LS/CMI) on a sample of sexual offenders extracted from a large cohort of offenders and compares predictive validities with nonsexual offenders from the same cohort. The LS/CMI predicted sex offenders' general recidivism, which occurred at a rate of 44.1%, with about the same accuracy as less frequently occurring violent (12.34%) and sexual recidivism (3.73%; AUC = .77, .74, and .74, respectively) and with nonsexual offenders. The study revealed that allowing assessors to override the numerically derived risk level with their professional judgment, a practice that increased risk level much more often than it decreased it, reduced the predictive validity of the scale and did so particularly for sex offenders by increasing risk excessively. An exploration of factors related to these adjustments revealed that non-risk-related characteristics were used in judgments to modify risk ratings. Implications for policy and practice are considered.

show abstract

“…Bien que l'utilisation de l'échelle demande une formation, sa cotation est rapide et aisée, participant à sa popularité. Cela ne nuit aucunement à sa validité prédictive, considérée comme l'une des meilleures du domaine (Barbaree et al, 2001 ;Parent et al, 2011). La Statique-99 contient 10 items, détaillés dans le tableau 1.…”

Section: La Statique-99unclassified

Mieux saisir les outils actuariels : une analyse factorielle de la Statique-99R

Brouillette‐Alarie

Proulx

Benbouriche

2013

crimino

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Une critique couramment formulée à l’encontre des outils actuariels statiques concerne leur incapacité à éclairer l’intervention, au regard de leurs fondements athéoriques. Dans la cadre d’un effort visant à nuancer cette critique, la présente étude a tenté d’identifier les construits théoriques présents dans la Statique-99R, l’échelle actuarielle de prédiction de la récidive des délinquants sexuels la plus utilisée. Une analyse factorielle exploratoire des items de l’instrument en a extrait trois facteurs : la délinquance sexuelle, la délinquance générale et le jeune âge. Une interprétation de ces facteurs en ce qui a trait aux dimensions psychologiques a été proposée : la délinquance sexuelle en tant qu’indicatrice de déviance sexuelle ou de préoccupations sexuelles et la délinquance générale en tant qu’indicatrice de traits antisociaux et/ou de psychopathie. Les limites et les implications pour de futures recherches sont discutées.The aim of the current paper is to identify dimensions of the Static-99R, the most commonly used sex-offender actuarial scale. Exploratory factor analysis extracted three dimensions from the scale : sexual criminality, general criminality and young age. An interpretation of the psychological meaning of these dimensions was suggested : sexual criminality as an indicator of either sexual deviance or sexual preoccupations, and general criminality as an indicator of antisocial traits and/or psychopathy.Una critica comúnmente formulada hacia las herramientas estadísticas actuariales consiste en su incapacidad para aclarar la intervención, debido sus bases no teóricas. En el marco de un esfuerzo por matizar dicha crítica, el presente estudio ha intentado identificar las construcciones teóricas presentes en Statistique-99R, la escala actuarial más utilizada en lo que a predicción de la reincidencia de los delincuentes sexuales se refiere. Un análisis factorial exploratorio de los elementos de dicho instrumento extrajo tres factores : la delincuencia sexual, la delincuencia general y la edad joven. Una interpretación de estos factores en términos psicológicos ha sido propuesta : la delincuencia sexual como índice de desviación sexual o de inquietudes sexuales, y la delincuencia general como indicador de rasgos antisociales o de psicopatía. Los límites y las implicaciones para futuras investigaciones son aquí abordados

show abstract

An Assessment of Long-Term Risk of Recidivism By Adult Sex Offenders: One Size Doesn’t fIt All

Cited by 63 publications

References 55 publications

Predictive validity of the Static-99R and its dimensions

Predictive validity of the Static-99R and its dimensions

The Predictive Validity of a General Risk/Needs Assessment Inventory on Sexual Offender Recidivism and an Exploration of the Professional Override

Mieux saisir les outils actuariels : une analyse factorielle de la Statique-99R

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About