An Economic Assessment of the Chicken Meat/Feed Price Interactions in Turkish Broiler Sector

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of the factors such as economic crisis, some speculative comments regarding broiler sector (hormone usage, antibiotic residual etc.) and HPAI outbreak upon the prices of chicken meat in Turkey in recent years, and to reveal the chicken meat/feed price alterations that occurred in 1994-2006 period. A whole chicken retail prices and broiler feed prices that were obtained from TÜİK (Turkish Statistical Institute) and BESD-BİR (Poultry Meat Producers and Breeders Association) consist of the material of the study. The current prices were converted into real prices by using the index which was constituted in order to eliminate the impact of the inflation on the price data. In addition to this, seasonal price fluctuations which occurred depending on the consumption demand were examined. As a consequence, it was determined that chicken meat production increased average 13.5% during this period yearly, but production level decreased by 10.5% in 2001, and increased only by 1.7% and 2.6% in 2005-2006 years respectively according to the previous years. Furthermore, it was ascertained that the average current prices of the chicken meat and feed increased by approximately 55 times and 53 times respectively. However, real prices decreased by 30.1% and 32.9% between 1994 and 2006 respectively. In conclusion, it has been thought that socioeconomic , psychological, and seasonal factors have an important role upon the chicken meat prices as well as supply-demand equilibrium in the market. Within this scope, the applications with reference to seasonal demand, input prices, consumer preferences, animal health and efficient production planning directed to the export of the integrated firms which have been in this sector are very important.

Investigation of goose breeding in Turkiye by linear and nonlinear regression models

“…Since 1997, there has been a decrease in the number of geese in Turkiye. [17] and [18] reported that the crisis experienced in the poultry sector due to Avian influenza, which was first seen in our country in 2005, caused a further decrease in the number of geese, especially in 2006. 2012 was the lowest year with 676179 geese.…”

HPAI H5N1 Vakalarının Kızılırmak Deltasındaki Köy Tavukçuluğuna Finansal Etkileri

“…However, Turkey has an adventage in this context, as 35% of the total population of Turkey lives in rural areas, village enterprises play a very important role in poultry production. Therefore, in the management of epidemic diseases, particularly avian influenza, the re-establishment of poultry farming and Broiler sector after disease outbreaks is of great importance [21] . Turkey's poultry sector affected the HPAI outbreaks in ŞENTÜRK, GÜLER [22][23][24] .…”

Türkiye’de Dana ve Koyun Eti Fiyatlarının Tavuk Eti Fiyatlarına Etki Düzeylerinin Farklı Regresyon Modelleri ve Karar Ağacı Algoritması İle Değerlendirilmesi

“…Inputs such as feed raw materials, broiler breeder prices [9] , packaging materials and energy costs are the factors that affect the price of chicken meat in Turkey [10] . On the other hand, consumer preferences [4] and socio-economic, psychological, seasonal factors also have an important role on the market price and supply-demand balance of chicken meat [11] .…”