2003
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-3-693-2003
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An historical, geomechanical and probabilistic approach to rock-fall hazard assessment

Abstract: Abstract.A new method (HGP for Historical, Geomechanical and Probabilistic) is proposed to estimate the failure probability of potentially unstable rock masses in a homogenous area, as a function of time. Analysis of a rock falls inventory yields the mean number of rock falls which may be expected in the area for the given time period and a given volume range. According to their geomechanical features, the potentially unstable rock masses are distributed in classes corresponding to different failure probabilit… Show more

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Cited by 94 publications
(61 citation statements)
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References 12 publications
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“…Those source areas, which correspond to the detachment zones of the blocks, are usually taken from distinctive evidence such as talus slope and scree deposits below cliff faces (Frattini et al, 2008), field and historical inventory of rockfall (Hantz, 2003). Whether these datasets are available, they are often fragmentary in space and time.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Those source areas, which correspond to the detachment zones of the blocks, are usually taken from distinctive evidence such as talus slope and scree deposits below cliff faces (Frattini et al, 2008), field and historical inventory of rockfall (Hantz, 2003). Whether these datasets are available, they are often fragmentary in space and time.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This inventory concerns rock falls of volume between 10 2 and 10 7 m 3 , distributed on a wall area of 200 m in average height and 120 km in length. The observation period considered was 65 yr for the volumes smaller than 10 5 m 3 , and several centuries for larger volumes (Hantz et al, 2003b). The constant b was estimated at 0.55 (±0.1) and α at 11 rock falls/yr (between 11 × 0.5 and 11 × 2).…”
Section: Introduction and Terminologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Without such an inventory, a qualitative assessment is achieved, mainly based on expert judgment (Groupe Falaise, 2001;Hantz et al, 2003b;Effendiantz et al, 2004). Examples of quantitative rock fall hazard and risk assessment are given by Hungr et al (1999, Picarelli et al (2005), Corominas et al (2005), Jaboyedoff et al (2005), Agliardi et al (2009), andAbbruzzese et al (2009).…”
Section: Introduction and Terminologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2002;Hantz et al 2003;Chau et al 2003), and a characterisation of the blocks observed on the rock face and on the slope. The distribution of the kinetic energy along the slope is computed by means of rock fall trajectory simulations.…”
Section: Original Cadanav Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%