This paper proposes an extended state observer-based ultra-local model-free three-vector predictive control method for Soft Open Point (SOP). First, the Ultra-Local Model-Free Predictive Control (ULMFPC) method is proposed to improve the robustness of the system, which only uses the input and output of the outer-loop, and any other parameters are not involved. Second, considering parameter perturbations and external disturbances in the SOP system, an expansion state observer (ESO) is established to observe the SOP system’s total perturbations and the perturbations are compensated in real-time to improve the system. Third, to solve the problem of significant current harmonics in traditional model predictive control (MPC), a three-vector MPC method (TV-MPC) is adopted to reduce the total harmonic distortion rate (THD) of the current. Finally, it is verified by simulation that the proposed method can effectively reduce the current harmonics of the SOP system, rate value setting time, and improve the dynamic performance effectively. When perturbations occur in the system, the proposed method can improve the anti-interference and robustness of the system.