Analysis of Crisis Phenomena in the Russian Economy Using Fast Indicators of Economic Security

Mityakov, S.N.; Mityakov, E.S.

doi:10.1134/s1075700721030096

Cited by 6 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…The technique is not absolutely new, since it was largely described in the authors' team head S.N. Mityakov's earlier works, which contain earlier crises analysis Mityakov 2013, 2016;Mityakov and Mityakov 2021). At the same time, this article's scientific novelty is the use of this technique for analysis of the last two crises, as well as generalized economic security index dynamic analysis for the entire observation period.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the monetary and financial sphere, with the turbulent nature of capital outflow, alongside gold and foreign exchange reserves imports' coverage being at a critical values level, a significant increase in prices was observed. The foreign economic sphere reacted with a significant decrease in exports and imports, as well as an increase in external debt, whose value was recovering within three years (Mityakov and Mityakov 2021).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The first works, including Russia's economic security dynamic analysis using rapid indicators, were carried out by V. Senchagov and S. Mityakov (Senchagov and Mityakov 2013). Later, Nizhny Novgorod authors published several more works on this topic (Mityakov and Mityakov 2021;Mityakov et al 2019). This study is a continuation of this cycle.…”

Section: Economic Security Monitoringmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Country Economic Security Monitoring Rapid Indicators System

Mityakov

Ladynin

et al. 2023

Economies

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Time series analysis is a method of key importance for systems of various hierarchies’ economic security studies. This article’s main goal is to develop an economic security rapid indicators system, introducing threshold values and utilizing indices with a one-month sampling period, and its approbation during Russia’s economic security operational monitoring. In order to develop such a system, the authors accumulated economic security world experience including reliability, visibility and tree structure principles. The authors’ monitoring system includes four spheres: real economy, social, monetary and foreign economic, each of which contains three indicators. In order to organize economic security monitoring, it is proposed to use the index method, which converts indicators into a dimensionless form with integral values in subsequent calculations. Based on integral indices values, the economic security generalized index is synthesized, which can be used to analyze a system’s development trends. We present economic security normalized indicators and integral indices dynamics for the years 2020–2022, which show two crises dynamics. The first is due the COVID-19 pandemic, while the second is associated with economic sanctions against Russia, implemented in 2022. The proposed economic security operational monitoring indicators system can be used effectively in the government’s practical tasks in order to ensure the required level of economic security. This is especially true for rapid diagnosis of crisis phenomena in countries and individual regions.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Economic Security Monitoringmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Country Economic Security Monitoring Rapid Indicators System

Mityakov

Ladynin

et al. 2023

Economies

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“…Изучению ключевых аспектов обеспечения экономической безопасности посвящены труды отечественных ученых, таких как С. Ю. Глазьева [2], М. Н. Дудина, Н. В. Лясникова и В. Н. Сидоренко [3], Е. Ю. Меркуловой [4], Е. С. Митякова и С. Н. Митякова [5], Т. Ю. Феофилова, Е. В. Радыгин, А. Н. Литвиненко [6], А. И. Татаркина [7] и др. В рамках изучения экономической безопасности отдельное место отводится изучению экономической безопасности региона и методике ее диагностики [8; 9; 10; 11; 12; 13; 14].…”

Section: материалы и методыunclassified

Diagnostics of the Economic Security of the Industrial Sector of the Region

Lozovaya,

Merkulova

2024

jour

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Relevance. The trend of increasing differentiation of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in terms of their socio-economic development increases the importance of regional policy, including in the field of ensuring economic security. In the system of regional economic security, a special role is assigned to its industrial component, since at present issues related to the definition and assessment of the industrial development of the region are becoming increasingly relevant. The purpose of the study is to diagnose the industrial component of the region’s economic security and determine its content and functional part in the regional economic security system.Objectives: to prove the relevance of the study, to analyze the industrial component of the region’s economic security through a system of indicators, to justify the conclusions obtained.Methodology. As part of the research, a set of methods of theoretical and comparative analysis, an integrated approach and generalization is used. Using system analysis, the industrial component of economic security is considered as an interconnected system of indicators, the interpretation of which allows us to assess the level of economic security of the region. Methods of an integrated approach and generalization have become the methodological basis for bringing industrial safety indicators to a dimensionless form to determine the degree of distance of indicators from threshold values.Results. During the study, the industrial component of the region's economic security was analyzed through a system of indicators, which is based on basic indicators reflecting key aspects of the socio-economic development of the region. The analysis showed that industrial safety in the region is at a fairly low level, since most indicators are outside the threshold values, which requires a set of measures to mitigate threats to economic security in the region in this area.Conclusions. The results obtained proved that diagnostics of the industrial safety of the region is the most important component of the mechanism for comprehensive provision of economic security, and can be used in forecasting the development of the region.

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“…Платформы как интеграционные образования специфических по функциям и задачам элементов находятся под влиянием большого количества рисков экономической безопасности. Для каждого элемента платформы существуют разработанные и достоверно апробированные на практике методики идентификации, анализа, оценки и риск-менеджмента рисками [11,15]. В связи с этим и в силу наличия ограничений на объем статьи этот вопрос авторами детально не рассматривается.…”

Section: еConomic Security Digital Platforms: Concept and Analysisunclassified

Еconomic security digital platforms: concept and analysis

Burak,

Glotov,

Bauer

2023

BRANS

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The article clarifies the conceptual approach, tested on subjects of the traditional economy, to ensuring the economic security of digital platforms consisting of the following elements: participants, objects, systems, technologies, methods, tools and mechanisms. The conceptual framework of the approach links into a single cycle the process of ensuring the economic security of a digital platform according to the following key components of the analysis: «the problem and its factors → economic orientation within the problem → risks of economic security → indicators and criteria of economic security → method of ensuring economic security». The approach required finding and summarizing a large amount of information, which was used in developing a method for ensuring the economic security of the digital platform. The proposed approach and the analysis performed on its basis expand the boundaries of research in the field of ensuring the economic security of subjects of both traditional and digital economies. The results of the article are of particular theoretical and practical interest for creative economic and IT entities implementing digital platforms in Russia.

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Analysis of Crisis Phenomena in the Russian Economy Using Fast Indicators of Economic Security

Cited by 6 publications

References 5 publications

Country Economic Security Monitoring Rapid Indicators System

Country Economic Security Monitoring Rapid Indicators System

Diagnostics of the Economic Security of the Industrial Sector of the Region

Еconomic security digital platforms: concept and analysis

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