Analysis of the Effect of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Exports in 5-Year Asean Countries (Years 2010–2020)

Ilmas, Naptania; Amelia, Mia; Risandi, Rafli

doi:10.25105/jet.v2i1.13561

Cited by 11 publications

(7 citation statements)

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“…The study also revealed that the Rupiah exchange rate has a substantial impact on inflation. Conversely, research by Ilmas et al (2022) found that exchange rates have a negative and significant effect on exports in five ASEAN countries. This suggests that if the exchange rate in a country increases, exports will decrease, and vice versa.…”

Section: Effect Of Exchange Rate On Inflationmentioning

confidence: 89%

The Effect of Fuel Price Fluctuations, Exchange Rates, and Profitability on Stock Returns and Inflation as Intervening Variables

Satoto

2023

j.imb

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This study aims to analyze the impact of fuel price fluctuations, exchange rates, and profitability on inflation and stock returns. The study employs statistical analysis utilizing SEM techniques and is tested using Smart PLS version 3.0. The study reveals that Fuel price fluctuations have no effect on Inflation. The direction of the relationship between Exchange Rate and Inflation is negative. Profitability has no effect on Inflation. Fuel price fluctuations have no effect on stock returns. Exchange rate has a significant effect with a positive direction on stock returns. Profitability has no direct effect on stock returns. Inflation has a significant effect directly with a negative direction on Stock Returns. Exchange rate has no effect on stock returns through inflation as an intervening variable. Profitability has a significant effect with a positive direction on stock returns through inflation as an intervening variable. The novelty in research is inflation as an intervening variable. Investors are advised that fluctuations in fuel prices and inflation rates need not be a primary concern in their investment decisions. Instead, the focus should be on assessing the potential impact of these factors on company profits. Consequently, investors should emphasize monitoring stock returns periodically while also taking into account variables that could influence a company's stock returns. The study is limited in its scope by examining only three independent variables—Fuel Price Fluctuations, Exchange Rates, and Profitability. Additionally, the research is confined to the period from 2013 to 2017.

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Section: Effect Of Exchange Rate On Inflationmentioning

confidence: 89%

The Effect of Fuel Price Fluctuations, Exchange Rates, and Profitability on Stock Returns and Inflation as Intervening Variables

Satoto

2023

j.imb

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“…A negative inflation variable indicates that increasing inflation reduces economic growth. This indicates that higher inflation rates can decrease people's purchasing power as the prices for products and services rise [13]. This can reduce people's capacity and ability in production and consumption activities, which has implications for decreasing economic growth.…”

Section: Determinants Of Credit Rice Production and Economic Growth I...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The simultaneous effect of credit on sustainable food crop production and agricultural economic growth in Indonesia

Saptia,

Rusnani

2024

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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In general, Indonesian farmers still face limited capital in their production. Therefore, credit is needed as additional capital, which is expected to help increase their agricultural business, especially rice production. This study analyzes how credit influences rice production and agricultural economic growth simultaneously. Secondary data are a time series over 12 years (2010-2021) from BPS Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia. The Statistical Analysis System/Econometric Time Series (SAS/ETS) program version 9.4 is used to estimate this study using two-stage least squares (2SLS). The results show that credit simultaneously influences rice production sustainability and economic growth in the agricultural sector through credit interest rates. A simulation model that combines an increase in agricultural credit distribution of 20% and an interest rate of 5% has a greater impact on increasing rice production and economic growth in the agricultural sector compared to a simulation model that only provides a credit interest rate of 5% or 3%.

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“…Sumatera Utara, Roberto Anggiat Iron Lumban Gaol dan I Wayan Sukadana pada pasar dunia melalu kegiatan ekspor (Safitri, 2015). Ilmas et al (2022) berpendapat bahwa kinerja ekspor yang kuat sebagai salah satu faktor penting dalam mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi.…”

Section: Elastisitas Ekspor Sektor Pertanian Terhadap Ipm Ketimpangan...unclassified

Elastisitas Ekspor Sektor Pertanian Terhadap Ipm Ketimpangan, Kemiskinan, TPT Dan PDRB Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Lumban Gaol,

Sukadana

2024

EEB

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Indonesia is an agricultural country and has a large abundance of natural resources, especially in the agricultural sector. The abundance of resources in the agricultural sector is also balanced by high economic growth. However, at the same time, people's welfare is still relatively low. It is feared that there is a natural resource curse phenomenon in resource management in Indonesia. The purpose of this study was to determine the elasticity of exports of the agricultural sector to welfare indicators in North Sumatra Province. The data source is secondary data using time series data for 20 years and cross section data as many as 7 variables that produce 140 observations. The analytical technique used in this study is the distribution lag model. The results showed that the elasticity of exports of the agricultural sector to indicators of public welfare in the province of North Sumatra is inelastic. Exports of the Agricultural Sector also have a significant effect on indicators of inequality and the open unemployment rate when viewed from the side of the trend for 20 years. The community is expected to participate in every poverty alleviation effort, especially through the contribution of income to the income of poor households.

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Analysis of the Effect of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Exports in 5-Year Asean Countries (Years 2010–2020)

Cited by 11 publications

References 0 publications

The Effect of Fuel Price Fluctuations, Exchange Rates, and Profitability on Stock Returns and Inflation as Intervening Variables

The Effect of Fuel Price Fluctuations, Exchange Rates, and Profitability on Stock Returns and Inflation as Intervening Variables

The simultaneous effect of credit on sustainable food crop production and agricultural economic growth in Indonesia

Elastisitas Ekspor Sektor Pertanian Terhadap Ipm Ketimpangan, Kemiskinan, TPT Dan PDRB Provinsi Sumatera Utara

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