2018
DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2018.17.5.037
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Application of Neural Networks for Forecasting Inflation: New Opportunities

Abstract: Аннотация. В статье представлен обзор последних достижений нейронных сетей применительно к задаче прогнозирования инфляции. Показано, что во многих случаях точность прогнозов, полученных с помощью нейросетевых методов, оказывается выше точности прогнозов, полученных традиционными методами экономической науки. Поднимается вопрос о глубинном противоречии между традиционным эконометрическим инструментарием и нейронными сетями, так как первые проигрывают вторым по точности расчетов, а вторые по сравнению с первыми… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Moreover, the devaluation precedes the inflation, "metamorphosing" to clear price growth in the country in three months. Thus, model (1) confirms that inflation and devaluation are one-order phenomena, occur synchronously, and should be regulated within the framework of a single monetary policy.…”
Section: Selection Of Econometric Model Of Inflationsupporting
confidence: 54%
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“…Moreover, the devaluation precedes the inflation, "metamorphosing" to clear price growth in the country in three months. Thus, model (1) confirms that inflation and devaluation are one-order phenomena, occur synchronously, and should be regulated within the framework of a single monetary policy.…”
Section: Selection Of Econometric Model Of Inflationsupporting
confidence: 54%
“…The constructed model (1), by its statistical characteristics, can be recognized as acceptable for initially identifying the determinants of inflation 1 model value of the CPI in Fig. 1 almost completely repeats the actual trajectory of inflation, and the trend lines for two rows diverge quite insignificantly.…”
Section: Selection Of Econometric Model Of Inflationmentioning
confidence: 85%
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