Application of System Dynamics to Water Security Research

Chen, Zhihe; Wei, Shuai

doi:10.1007/s11269-013-0496-8

Cited by 65 publications

(31 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…Several system dynamics models have been developed for water resources management (Mirchi et al 2012;Qaiser et al 2013). A system dynamics approach has been used successfully by several researchers on the Canadian Prairies (Belcher et al 2003(Belcher et al , 2004Simonovic and Li 2004;Chen and Wei 2014;Hassanzadeh et al 2014). The researchers involved had previous experience using the system dynamics approach (Belcher et al 2004).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

An economic assessment of local farm multi-purpose surface water retention systems in a Canadian Prairie setting

2017

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There is a need to explore more sustainable approaches to water management on the Canadian Prairies. Retention pond installation schemes designed to capture surface water may be a viable option that would reduce water stress during drought periods by providing water for irrigation. The retention systems would serve to capture excess spring runoff and extreme rainfall events, reducing flood potential downstream. Additionally, retention ponds may be used for biomass production and nutrient retention. The purpose of this research was to investigate the economic viability of adopting local farm surface water retention systems as a strategic water management strategy. A retention pond was analyzed using a dynamic simulation model to predict its storage capacity, installation and upkeep cost, and economic advantage to farmers when used for irrigation. While irrigation application increased crop revenue, the cost of irrigation and reservoir infrastructure and installation costs were too high for the farmer to experience a positive net revenue. Farmers who harvest cattails from retention systems for biomass and available carbon offset credits can gain $642.70/hectare of harvestable cattail/year. Cattail harvest also removes phosphorus and nitrogen, providing a monetized impact of $7014/hectare of harvestable cattail/year. The removal of phosphorus, nitrogen, carbon, and avoided flooding damages of the retention basin itself provide an additional $17,730-$18,470/hectare of retention system/year. The recommended use of retention systems is for avoided flood damages, nutrient retention, and biomass production. The revenue gained from these functions can support farmers wanting to invest in irrigation while providing economic and environmental benefits to the region.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

An economic assessment of local farm multi-purpose surface water retention systems in a Canadian Prairie setting

2017

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“…Land use type area × W i Land area (10) Water 2018, 10, 868 6 of 17 W i is the ecological risk intensity parameter for the ith land use type, which can be found in Reference [19]. An economy subsystem is crucial to analyze the regional development.…”

Section: Gross Agriculture Outputmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulating the Evolution of the Land and Water Resource System under Different Climates in Heilongjiang Province, China

Jiang

Zhao

Wang

et al. 2018

Water

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Heilongjiang Province is under the pressure of a water shortage due to climate change, population growth and economic development. To effectively manage regional land and water resources, this paper describes a system dynamics model that was built to simulate the interaction between land and water resources and socioeconomic factors, as well as the evolution of regional land and water resources in different climates in Heilongjiang Province. The results show that the declining trend of unused land area and the water supply-demand ratio will not stop, even under the most optimistic (e.g., humid climate) climate conditions, if the current land use patterns continue. Therefore, measures should be taken to manage the unreasonable usage patterns of land and water resources in this region. This study simulated the evolution of regional land and water resources for five scenarios under an arid climate by changing the net irrigation quota for paddy fields, the water quota for industrial use, forestland area, annual change rate of farmland area, and the growth rate of the gross industrial output value. Further, a combined scenario that can maximally reduce the regional land and water resource sustainable risk was identified. The simulation of the combined scenario showed that it can effectively increase the degree of regional land and water resource use in the region, as well as reduce the risks that threaten these resources. This study provides theoretical support for the efficient use of land and water resources in the future.

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“…It is also relevant to underline that the system dynamics approach enables the possibility to model the water behavior as a continuous variable. For a more detailed description about System Dynamics and System Dynamics Modeling, the work of Forrester [32], Rehan, et al [33] and Chen and Wei [34] is highly recommended.…”

Section: Why It Is Important To Assess the Wf In Biofuels Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A system dynamics approach for estimating the water footprint of the bioethanol supply chain in the region of Orizaba in the State of Veracruz, Mexico

Trujillo-Mata

Cortés-Robles

Sánchez-Ramírez

et al. 2016

WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment

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The global pressure to reduce emissions combined with the negative tendency in the world oil reserves is impelling the improvement and development of renewable sources of energy. The bioethanol industry is one of the most active sectors. Under this environment, the market is facing a conflict: to increase productivity (more resources consumed), without compromising the future natural resources. In emergent countries as Mexico, there is not yet a well-developed biofuels supply chain. However, it is growing at a regular pace. As the bioethanol industry accelerates its productivity and market share, another renewable resource suffers for this expansion: the water reserves. This work proposes to integrate the Bioethanol Supply Chain Analysis with the Water Footprint Assessment. Nevertheless, water changes in time under the influence of several factors, producing a complex and dynamic behavior. Therefore, a system dynamics model to evaluate the water footprint of the bioethanol supply chain enables the capacity to simulate the impact of bioethanol production on water resources over time in the city of Orizaba in the State of Veracruz, Mexico.

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Application of System Dynamics to Water Security Research

Cited by 65 publications

References 40 publications

An economic assessment of local farm multi-purpose surface water retention systems in a Canadian Prairie setting

An economic assessment of local farm multi-purpose surface water retention systems in a Canadian Prairie setting

Simulating the Evolution of the Land and Water Resource System under Different Climates in Heilongjiang Province, China

A system dynamics approach for estimating the water footprint of the bioethanol supply chain in the region of Orizaba in the State of Veracruz, Mexico

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