Approaches to Gaming the Future: Planning a Foresight Game on Circular Economy

Dufva, Mikko; Kettunen, Outi; Aminoff, Anna; Antikainen, Maria; Sundqvist-Andberg, Henna; Tuomisto, Timo

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-40216-1_60

Cited by 9 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…Dufva et al (2016) proposed integrating FS into the everyday activities of organisations, rather than as a separate process when it is already too late to react to the perceived challenges. These authors focussed on the role of “gaming” within FS and proposed “foresight games” to be used by CE practitioners to generate new insights about alternative futures.…”

Section: Methodology Results and Proposed Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Neuvonen et al , 2014; Sinclair et al , 2018) ended up building overly optimistic versions, quite disconnected from realistic economic models. Therefore, evidence seems to point towards a CE community being fixated on the future but certainly not proactively engaged in learning how to study it and reluctant to embrace the possibilities of alternative futures (Dufva et al , 2016).…”

Section: Circular Economy: Defining Contributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The future of the circular economy and the circular economy of the future

Rodríguez

Pomponi

Webster

et al. 2020

BEPAM

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PurposeThe circular economy (CE) has gained momentum in recent years as a new economic paradigm. While the CE sets a very defined vision for a sustainable future, it still operates in the present. As such, existing guidance on and research into the CE lack a necessary understanding of how to go from the present to the future. What if the future is different from what the CE expects? The CE cannot answer this question adequately and therefore is not capable of developing this understanding alone. To address this shortcoming, this paper proposes futures studies (FS) as a complementary discipline because it offers exactly what CE lacks: methods to explore alternative futures.Design/methodology/approachTo understand the level of interdisciplinary research in the built environment between CE and FS, a systematic literature review is carried out using a bibliometric review and a snowballing technique. This manuscript reviews seminal literature in both fields and their theoretical background.FindingsThis paper demonstrates the lack of collaboration between CE and FS and highlights a systemic failure within CE, which is to consider the future as unknowable. It further provides an initial understanding of where the synergy sits, recommendations on where to start and introduces some of the FS chief methods that could be used by CE in the built environment.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors’ bibliometric review and snowballing approach might have missed out on some literature that still falls within the scope. Such limitations are due, on one hand, to the authors’ bibliometric review approach by selecting publications based on matching keywords. On the other hand, the snowballing approach is affected by the authors’ subjective judgements on which of the publications are worth to explore based mainly just on the title and abstract of the paper.Practical implicationsThe inclusion of Futures Studies will allow a stronger focus on approaching possible futures to be integrated overtly into existing work, research and action within the CE community.Social implicationsIt is more reasonable to expect that by cooperatively creating and implementing constructed futures with FS methods and CE principles, a better future for the built environment be reached. This is why it is so relevant for humanity that these two communities start to interact as soon as possible and maintain and open and productive collaboration in transitioning towards a sustainable society.Originality/valueTo the authors’ knowledge, this research is the first of its kind by considering FS into the CE debate.

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Section: Methodology Results and Proposed Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Circular Economy: Defining Contributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The future of the circular economy and the circular economy of the future

Rodríguez

Pomponi

Webster

et al. 2020

BEPAM

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“…Recently, many new game concepts have been created using traditional tools or taking advantage of online capabilities leading to a multiplication of platforms of play, new markets, and genres of games (Candy, 2018a;Fullerton, 2014). Overall, it seems that greater engagement is achieved through the use of physical games, which include card-based games, board games and role-playing rather than through online games (Dufva et al, 2015). Ultimately, games and simulations provide a means to "use the future," since, as Dator points out, "games are the closest we can come to actually […] pre-experiencing alternative futures so as to have a wider understanding of what might be viable preferred futures" (Dator, 2017).…”

Section: Putting the Ses Into Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…With a view to help clarify such a diverse landscape, Dufva (Dufva et al 2015) proposes to classify foresight games on a triangular space according to their positioning between three specific objectives: providing information, offering first-hand experience, and/or being used as an idea generation platform. Typically, foresight games either pursue multiple simultaneous objectives or can be used in different modes to serve different objectives, which speaks to how they can provide a means to experience complexity and engage with uncertainty rather than merely discuss both.…”

Section: The Use Of Games In Current Foresight Practicementioning

confidence: 99%

A Game for All Seasons: Lessons and Learnings from the JRC’s Scenario Exploration System

Bontoux

Sweeney

Rosa

et al. 2020

World Futures Review

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The European Commission Joint Research Centre’s (JRC) Scenario Exploration System (SES) is a foresight gaming system developed to facilitate the application of futures thinking to policy-making. It was originally geared at engaging EU policy-makers with scenarios in a facilitated process with a low learning curve. Specifically, the SES was designed to help participants, in less than three hours, to engage in systemic thinking with a long-term perspective and to explore alternative futures on specific issues and themes. When applied in various contexts, the SES proved to have a broader range of applications, which led to communities of practice emerging around the tool. Successful responses to various requests to apply the tool beyond its original focus demonstrated the versatility of the SES. Specifically, we discovered its ability to accommodate a large array of scenarios to discuss a very diverse range of issues. The experience accumulated through several adaptations of the SES allows the analysis of the various strengths and weaknesses of the tool as a platform for futures thinking and sharing more broadly the know-how for the creation and application of new versions. Ultimately, this article seeks to contribute a series of design suggestions for futures practitioners seeking to develop a playful mode of interaction with scenarios, or those seeking to repurpose the original SES system for use in their own project.

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“…The evidence demonstrates a CE community not being proactively engaged in learning how to study the future and being closed-minded on accepting the possibilities of alternative futures (Dufva et al, 2016). CE also needs to be monitored from a systems perspective to avoid that incoherent CE actions take place that do not contribute to sustainable development (Pauliuk, 2018).…”

Section: Circular Economymentioning

confidence: 99%

Estudios de futuros y economía circular: un enfoque interdisciplinario para el desarrollo sostenible

2019

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While the Circular Economy (CE) is gaining traction as a new economic paradigm to overcome the linear economy, it has not yet developed an understanding on how to transition from the present into the future. What if the future is different from what the CE expects? We argue that the CE cannot answer this question adequately and therefore is not capable of developing this understanding alone. To address this shortcoming, we propose Futures Studies (FS) as a complementary discipline because it offers exactly what CE lacks: methods to explore alternative futures. Whilst both communities are working towards the same goal —a sustainable tomorrow— until now they show little to no interaction. This research represents a first step towards embedding realistic considerations of futures into the CE debate: it reviews literature in both fields and their theoretical background to highlight potential synergies, and lay a path on where and how to start.

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Approaches to Gaming the Future: Planning a Foresight Game on Circular Economy

Cited by 9 publications

References 20 publications

The future of the circular economy and the circular economy of the future

The future of the circular economy and the circular economy of the future

A Game for All Seasons: Lessons and Learnings from the JRC’s Scenario Exploration System

Estudios de futuros y economía circular: un enfoque interdisciplinario para el desarrollo sostenible

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