Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900–2006

Haigh, Ivan D.; Nicholls, Robert J.; Wells, N. C.

doi:10.1016/j.csr.2010.02.002

Cited by 137 publications

(151 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…represented by the NAO (e.g. Wakelin et al, 2003;Woolf et al, 2003;Tsimplis et al, 2005;Tsimplis et al, 2006;Kolker and Hameed, 2007;Haigh et al, 2010;Dangendorf et al, 2012;Albrecht and Weisse, 2012). inter-annual sea level variability was also found to be large (see Fig.…”

Section: Decadal Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 94%

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Observed mean sea level changes around the North Sea coastline from 1800 to present

Wahl¹,

Haigh²,

Woodworth³

et al. 2013

Earth-Science Reviews

158

128

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This paper assesses historic changes in mean sea level around the coastline of the North Sea, one of the most densely populated coasts in the world. Typically, such analyses have been conducted at a national level, and detailed geographically wider analyses have not been undertaken for about 20 years. We analyse long records (up to 200 years) from 30 tide gauge sites, which are reasonably uniformly distributed along the coastline, and: (1) calculate relative sea level trends; (2) examine the inter-annual and decadal variations; (3) estimate regional geocentric (sometimes also referred to as 'absolute') sea level rise throughout the 20 th century; and (4)

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Section: Decadal Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 94%

“…Menéndez and Woodworth, 20110) and more detailed studies (e.g. Araújo and Pugh, 2008;Haigh et al, 2010;Dangendorf et al, accepted) …”

Section: Conclusion and Recommendationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Observed mean sea level changes around the North Sea coastline from 1800 to present

Wahl¹,

Haigh²,

Woodworth³

et al. 2013

Earth-Science Reviews

158

128

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“…DIVA considers both these flooding mechanisms. Due to the difficulties of predicting changes in storm surge characteristics (e.g., von Storch and Woth 2008), the present storm surge characteristics are simply displaced upwards with the rising sea level following 20th Century observations (e.g., Zhang et al 2000;Woodworth and Blackman 2004;Haigh et al 2010). Taking into account the effects of dikes, flood areas for return periods from 1-in-1 to 1-in-1000 years are computed.…”

Section: The Diva Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing risk of and adaptation to sea-level rise in the European Union: an application of DIVA

Hinkel

Nicholls

Vafeidis

et al. 2010

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

145

102

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This paper applies the DIVA model to assess the risk of and adaptation to sealevel rise for the European Union in the 21st century under the A2 and B1 scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. For each scenario, impacts are estimated without and with adaptation in the form of increasing dike heights and nourishing beaches. Before 2050, the level of impacts is primarily determined by socio-economic development. In 2100 and assuming no adaptation, 780×10 3 people/year are estimated to be affected by coastal flooding under A2 and 200×10 3 people/year under B1. The total monetary damage caused by flooding, salinity intrusion, land erosion and migration is projected to be about US$ 17×10 9 under both scenarios in 2100; damage costs relative to GDP are highest for the Netherlands (0.3% of GDP under A2). Adaptation reduces the number of people flooded by factors of 110 to 288 and total damage costs by factors of 7 to 9. In 2100 adaptation costs are projected to be US$ 3.5×10 9 under A2 and 2.6×10 9 under B1; adaptation costs relative to GDP are highest for Estonia (0.16% under A2) and Ireland (0.05% under A2). These results suggest that adaptation measures to sea-level rise are beneficial and affordable, and will be widely applied throughout the European Union.

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“…Hurrell et al, 2003). The influence of (winter) NAO (wNAO) on Atlantic sea level during the instrumental era is well established (Andersson, 2002;Haigh et al, 2010;Kolker and Hameed, 2007;Miller and Douglas, 2007;Tsimplis et al, 2005Tsimplis et al, , 2006Woodworth et al, 2007;Woolf et al, 2003), but its significance in controlling dynamic sea-level variability over longer time intervals has not previously been explored. In this paper we present proxy evidence of at least two pre-industrial oscillations in sea level that broadly correlate to changes in reconstructed wNAO in the North Atlantic Ocean, highlighting the influence of ocean-atmosphere forcing on regional-scale sea-level variability during past centuries.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sea-level changes in Iceland and the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the last half millennium

Saher

Gehrels

Barlow

et al. 2015

Quaternary Science Reviews

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Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900–2006

Cited by 137 publications

References 29 publications

Observed mean sea level changes around the North Sea coastline from 1800 to present

Observed mean sea level changes around the North Sea coastline from 1800 to present

Assessing risk of and adaptation to sea-level rise in the European Union: an application of DIVA

Sea-level changes in Iceland and the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the last half millennium

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