2013
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2288-13-119
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Assessing regression to the mean effects in health care initiatives

Abstract: BackgroundInterventions targeting individuals classified as “high-risk” have become common-place in health care. High-risk may represent outlier values on utilization, cost, or clinical measures. Typically, such individuals are invited to participate in an intervention intended to reduce their level of risk, and after a period of time, a follow-up measurement is taken. However, individuals initially identified by their outlier values will likely have lower values on re-measurement in the absence of an interven… Show more

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Cited by 153 publications
(128 citation statements)
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“…Regression to the mean can be mitigated when multiple baseline observations are taken, as this narrows the variability around the true mean (Linden, 2013). As such, the fact that physical activity data were obtained over the course of five days, and that dietary intake data were collected over two days at both time points may have helped reduce the potential for regression to the mean.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Regression to the mean can be mitigated when multiple baseline observations are taken, as this narrows the variability around the true mean (Linden, 2013). As such, the fact that physical activity data were obtained over the course of five days, and that dietary intake data were collected over two days at both time points may have helped reduce the potential for regression to the mean.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Aside from the potential interpretations provided, regression to the mean may also explain some of the observed changes. This is a statistical phenomenon where individuals or groups with extreme initial values are likely to have values that will be closer to the overall sample mean in the follow up score (Linden, 2013).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The natural history of these clinical disorders is that symptoms substantially ebb and flow rather than remain static [174]. As it is most common for patients to enroll in research studies when their symptoms are particularly high, it is possible that much of any clinical improvements noted reflect “regression to the mean” rather than a discrete treatment effect [175]. Further, the act of participating in a trial and being studied may lead to symptomatic improvement that is not specific to any particular intervention.…”
Section: Post Hoc Fallacymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…blood pressure 5 , heights of fathers and sons 6 , and medical costs 7 ) or count data (sex acts, sex partners 8 ). However, little has been written about RTM in the context of binary measures (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%