Assessing the Impact of Agricultural R&amp;D Investments on Long-Term Projections of Food Security

Kristkova, Zuzana Smeets; Dijk, Michiel van; Meijl, Hans van

doi:10.1108/s1574-871520170000017001

Cited by 14 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…Western Africa has one of the lowest shares of agricultural R&D spending as a proportion of agricultural GDP in the world (0.5% vs 5% in high income countries). In earlier research it was estimated that under a 0.5% share of R&D spending in agricultural GDP, land productivity can grow up to 1% annually ( Figure 18) [51]. In order to close the yield gap with high income countries, yields would need to grow by 3.5% annually, which requires a much larger share of R&D spending than is the current spending.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Sustainability 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 22 of 32 productivity can grow up to 1% annually ( Figure 18) [51]. In order to close the yield gap with high income countries, yields would need to grow by 3.5% annually, which requires a much larger share of R&D spending than is the current spending.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Figure 18. Expected annual growth of land productivity (2011-2050) in the SSP2 scenario and under alternative intensities for R&D. Sources: for Nigeria, the IMAGE model [47]; for West-Africa under different R&D intensities, the MAGNET model [51].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…First, a structural change in labour markets to commercialize agriculture and develop agro-based industries was considered to be a major West Africa Share R&D share1.5% Figure 18. Expected annual growth of land productivity (2011-2050) in the SSP2 scenario and under alternative intensities for R&D. Sources: for Nigeria, the IMAGE model [47]; for West-Africa under different R&D intensities, the MAGNET model [51].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Healthy Diets and Reduced Land Pressure: Towards a Double Gain for Future Food Systems in Nigeria

2019

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Nigeria is one of the most dynamic economies in Africa. Strong GDP and population growth coupled with urbanization trends place tremendous pressures on natural resources and the food systems that are dependent on them. Understanding the impact of these “mega trends” is important to identify key leverage points for navigating towards improved nutrition and food security in Nigeria. This paper contributes to the Foresight Project of the Food Systems for Healthier Diets which aims to analyse how the food system in Nigeria is expected to transform in the next decades, and to identify the leverage points for making sure that the transformation contributes to balanced consumer diets. For the food systems foresight, a well-established global economy-wide model, MAGNET, is applied that enables to capture the interlinkages among different food industry players in one consistent framework. By linking MAGNET to the GENUS nutritional database, it is further possible to relate the developments occurring on a macro-level with detailed macro and micronutrient consumption. Model projections suggest that a process of intensification of agriculture in combination with land substitution appears critical for the evolution of food and nutrition security, and for shifts towards healthy diets for the population. Intensification results in greater diversity of the production systems, which in turn cascades into positive effects on the diversity in the food supply and better food security outcomes.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Healthy Diets and Reduced Land Pressure: Towards a Double Gain for Future Food Systems in Nigeria

2019

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“…For example, Kristkova et al. (2017) analyze the impact of public agricultural R&D investments on agricultural productivity and long‐term food security to derive policy recommendations, concluding that doubling the R&D intensity would soften the land constraints and substantially decelerate food prices. Mason‐D'Croz et al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agricultural R&D investment intensity: A misleading conventional measure and a new intensity index

Nin‐Pratt

2021

Agricultural Economics

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The conventional wisdom that developing countries are significantly underinvesting in agricultural research and development (R&D) has been challenged by studies that found that the high rates of return in the literature result from data limitations and inadequate modeling choices. However, evidence of low research effort in developing countries as measured by the intensity ratio (IR)—the percentage of agricultural gross domestic product invested in agricultural R&D—has not been questioned. This article argues that the IR is an inadequate indicator of research effort and proposes an alternative index to measure R&D intensity. Using the proposed index, we find that the investment effort in developing countries is much higher than the one observed when the IR is used, that the contribution of low‐ and middle‐income (LMI) countries to growth in global R&D intensity was higher to that of high‐income (HI) countries in recent years, that the investment gap in LMI countries is close to 50% of R&D investment, and that the proposed development goal of a 1.0% value of the IR is beyond the possibilities of most Asian and African countries.

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Role of land use, green energy, and water resources for food accessibility: Evidence from emerging economies in the lens of COP28

Amin,

Xie,

Vasa

et al. 2024

Land Degrad Dev

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In the era of COP28, where most of the developed and developing economies concentrate more on the development of environmentally friendly energy resources to tackle the issue of climate change. Nevertheless, the literature lacks appropriate evidence regarding the influences of green energy and other resources on food security. This study analyses the influences of land use, green energy, and water resources on food accessibility in emerging economies, while also considering the important roles of natural resources, research and development (R&D) expenditure, and economic growth during 1980–2020. Due to non‐linear data dispersion, the novel moments quantile regression is employed. Results assert that land use has a positive significant influence on food accessibility in the presence of water resources and a weaker negative impact in the presence of natural resources. Natural and water resources are detrimental to food accessibility in the Emerging Seven (E7) countries. Furthermore, R&D expenditure and green energy positively (negatively), while economic growth negatively (positively) impacted food accessibility in the presence of natural resources (water resources). The results are robust and validate causal inferences that help develop appropriate policies for emerging economies concerning food accessibility or security. In this rapidly evolving era, most empirical studies consider environmental quality. Conversely, this study contributes to the literature by examining the factors influencing food accessibility, as this issue is of considerable importance because of the rapidly growing global population.

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Assessing the Impact of Agricultural R&D Investments on Long-Term Projections of Food Security

Cited by 14 publications

References 16 publications

Healthy Diets and Reduced Land Pressure: Towards a Double Gain for Future Food Systems in Nigeria

Healthy Diets and Reduced Land Pressure: Towards a Double Gain for Future Food Systems in Nigeria

Agricultural R&D investment intensity: A misleading conventional measure and a new intensity index

Role of land use, green energy, and water resources for food accessibility: Evidence from emerging economies in the lens of COP28

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