Assessing the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture: Evidence from major crop yields

Guntukula, Raju

doi:10.1002/pa.2040

Cited by 121 publications

(66 citation statements)

References 45 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The positive impact of minimum temperature on cotton yield may be unable offset the adverse effect of maximum temperature as reflected in estimated results. Present results of minimum and maximum temperature in mean yield function of cotton are contrary to some studies such as Padakandla (2016) and Guntukula (2020). The empirical outcomes of climatic factors in mean yield function of cotton are similar with Kumar et al (2015).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 78%

Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India

Guntukula

Goyari

2020

Studies in Microeconomics

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study has examined the effects of climatic factors on mean yields and yield variability of four primary crops (rice, cotton, jowar and groundnut) in Telangana state by applying the Just and Pope production function over a period of 1956–2015. Using the three-stage feasible generalised least squares estimation procedure, we have estimated the production function of four crops. The empirical results have revealed that the effects of changes in climatic factors vary among crops under study. Maximum temperature has a significant adverse effect on rice, cotton and groundnut yields. Minimum temperature has a substantial positive effect on rice, cotton and groundnut. Further, rainfall is adversely related to cotton and groundnut yields. Maximum temperature has appeared as a risk-reducing factor for all study crops while minimum temperature as a risk-enhancing factor for rice, cotton and jowar. Lastly, rainfall has been found as a risk-enhancing factor for rice and groundnut whereas it is a risk-reducing factor for jowar and cotton. Results from the study have important implications on how Telangana’s farming sector will adapt to climate variability and change for sustainable agricultural development. JEL Codes: C23, Q18, Q51, Q54

show abstract

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 78%

Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India

Guntukula

Goyari

2020

Studies in Microeconomics

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…This method is appropriate to measure the influence of climate change on crop productivity (Sarker et al, ). Following Lobell, Cahill, and Field () and Guntukula (), this study used three major climatic factors as explanatory variables, namely, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, and rainfall and maize yield as dependent variable. The following regression model is used.

Y_{t} = α + β_{1} {rainf}_{t} + β_{2} {maxtemp}_{t} + β_{3} {mintemp}_{t} + β_{4} {area}_{t} + ε_{t},

…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of climate change on maize yields and its variability in Telangana, India: A panel approach study

Guntukula

Goyari

2020

Journal of Public Affairs

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The present study explores the effect of climate change on maize yields and its variance in Telangana utilizing Just–Pope production function, spanning the period 1956–2015. The three‐step feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method is employed to estimate the Just and Pope production function. The empirical results of the work reveal that the average minimum temperature has a significant unfavorable effect on maize yield in Telangana. Maximum temperature and actual rainfall are positively related with maize yield; however, the maximum temperature is not statistically significant. Furthermore, rainfall and minimum temperature are risk‐shrinking factors, but the maximum temperature is a risk‐enhancing factor for maize yields during the study period. The study results have key implications for developing suitable local level adaptation policies in Telangana.

show abstract

“…Although all major industries are susceptible to climate change, the agriculture sector is the one that has the highest vulnerability (Guntukula 2020). Many plants are sensitive to temperature changes; hence, global warming will have destructive effects on agricultural production (Appiah et al 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Chandio

Gökmenoğlu

Ahmad

2021

Environ Sci Pollut Res

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study assessed the long-run (LR) and short-run (SR) impacts of climatic and non-climatic factors, i.e., CO 2 emissions (CO 2 e), average level of temperature (ALT), average level of precipitation (ALP), area harvested of wheat and rice crops (AHW and (AHR), domestic credit (DCR), and agricultural labor (ALB) on wheat and rice production (WP and RP) in Turkey by using annual time series data ranging from 1980 to 2016 and by employing several econometric techniques. The autoregressive distributed lag-bounds (ARDL) approach and the Johansen and Juselius cointegration (JJC) test confirmed a valid long-term connection among underlying variables. The estimation results from the ARDL model reveal that climatic factors such as CO 2 emissions and temperature adversely affected wheat production in the long run as well as in the short run, whereas precipitation positively improved wheat production in both periods. Further results indicate that non-climatic factors like area harvested of wheat and domestic credit positively and significantly enhanced wheat production in the long run and short run. Similarly, CO 2 emissions also adversely affected rice production in both periods, while temperature and precipitation positively contributed towards rice production in both cases. In addition, area harvested of rice positively and significantly boosted rice production in the long run as well as in the short run, while domestic credit negatively influenced rice production in the long run but in the short run positively improved rice production. Additionally, the outcomes of the VECM Granger Causality for both rice and wheat production confirm that both climatic and non-climatic variables have a strong influence on the production of both crops. This study found that climate change has a deleterious influence on both wheat and rice production; therefore, the study suggests that temperature-resistant varieties of both crops should be developed and introduced by agricultural research institutions. In addition to this, up-to-date information is more needed related to climate change, and in the farming communities, it should be provided by agricultural extension workers.

show abstract

Assessing the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture: Evidence from major crop yields

Cited by 121 publications

References 45 publications

Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India

Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India

The impact of climate change on maize yields and its variability in Telangana, India: A panel approach study

Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About