Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Sea Surface Temperatures and Sea Level Rise—The Arabian Gulf

Hereher, Mohamed E.

doi:10.3390/cli8040050

Cited by 51 publications

(34 citation statements)

References 48 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Compared to the global and Red Sea SST warming rates of 0.07 and 0.17 (max 0.45) • C/decade (Lough, 2012;Chaidez et al, 2017), respectively, the Gulf 's warming rate was found here to be 0.41 (±0.14) • C/decade. Hereher (2020) determined the Gulf 's warming trend to be 0.7 • C/decade using observations from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images for the period of 2003 to 2018; this is similar to the observations obtained here for the same time period (0.67 • C/decade). In addition, the results obtained here showed that the Gulf 's spatial SST warming trend displayed a latitudinal gradient of 0.22 to 0.59 • C/decade, with steeper trends from south to north.…”

Section: Gulf's Warming Ratesupporting

confidence: 80%

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Variability in the Arabian/Persian Gulf

Senafi

2022

Front. Mar. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The Arabian Gulf comprises one of the world's most unique and fragile marine ecosystems; it is susceptible to the adverse effects of climate change due to its shallow depth and its location within an arid region that witnesses frequent severe atmospheric events. To reproduce these effects in numerical models, it is important to obtain a better understanding of the region's sea surface temperature (SST) variability patterns, as SST is a major driver of circulation in shallow environments. To this end, here, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition analysis was conducted to investigate interannual to multi-decadal SST variability in the Gulf from 1982 to 2020, using daily Level 4 Group for High Resolution SST (GHRSST) data. In this way, three dominant EOF modes were identified to contribute the Gulf's SST variability. Significant spatial and temporal correlations were found suggesting that throughout the 39-year study period, SST variability could be attributed to atmospheric changes driven by the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) climate modes. Spatial and temporal analyses of the dataset revealed that the average SST was 26.7°C, and that the warming rate from 1982 to 2020 reached up to 0.59°C/decade. A detailed examination of SST changes associated with heat exchange at the air-sea interface was conducted using surface heat fluxes from fifth generation (ERA5) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Despite the SST warming trend, the accumulation of heat during the study period is suggesting that there was an overall loss of heat (cooling). This cooling reverted into heating in 2003 and has since been increasing.

show abstract

Section: Gulf's Warming Ratesupporting

confidence: 80%

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Variability in the Arabian/Persian Gulf

Senafi

2022

Front. Mar. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…(2007) . Global average sea-level is rising at an average rate of 3.36 ± 0.4 mm yr −1 and PG sea-level rise more or less is the same ( Church and White 2006 ; Hereher 2020 ). The combined impact of sea-level rise and increasing temperatures has negatively impacted the sensitive ecosystems of the Gulf i.e.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The combined impact of sea-level rise and increasing temperatures has negatively impacted the sensitive ecosystems of the Gulf i.e. the coral reefs, with coral bleaching and death being reported (Kabiri et al, 2012;Hereher 2020;Riegl 2003). Long lasting high SST in the PG is the cause of coral bleaching incidents in 1996in , 1998in , 2002in , 2007in , 2017).…”

Section: The Changing Environmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change: A driver of future conflicts in the Persian Gulf Region?

Beni

Marriner

Sharifi³

et al. 2021

Heliyon

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Ongoing global change and its direct environmental impacts, in addition to securing economic transition to the post-oil era, could trigger complex socio-economic and political crises in oil-dependent economies of the Persian Gulf Region (PGR). To evaluate the role of climate change and related policies in degrading the environment and its socio-economic impacts in the PGR, we have used a variety of available global datasets and published data. The results show that the countries of the PGR pursue some types of socio-economic reforms to alleviate the impacts of climate change. However, it seems that these attempts are not compatible with the environment's capacity. The main problem stems from the fact that political differences between the PGR nations prevent them from managing the Persian Gulf environment as an integrated natural system and consequently they have to limit their efforts within their borders, regardless of what happens in other parts of the system. The shift to alternative revenue sources by the countries needs socioeconomic preparedness while there are environmental obstacles, political tensions and geopolitical rivalries. Unless there is a cooperative approach to mitigate the effects of climate change, accompanied by a reorientation of PGR economies, the situation is likely to worsen rather than improve. To address the challenges of climate change, integrated regional collaborations are needed. Collective action, such as more investment in regional research and development and education, is required if the PGR is to successfully transition from a commodity-based to a knowledge-based economy.

show abstract

“…For the MODIS data, thermal channels 31 (10.780 to 11.280 µm) and 32 (11.770 to 12.270 µm) are particularly suited to estimate the surface temperature [40]. The MODIS sea surface temperature data have been widely validated for open waters and therefore are widely accepted as accurate [37,[41][42][43][44][45].…”

Section: Sst Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatiotemporal Variability of Chlorophyll-a and Sea Surface Temperature, and Their Relationship with Bathymetry over the Coasts of UAE

Hussein

Abdouli²,

Ghebreyesus

et al. 2021

Remote Sensing

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The catastrophic implication of harmful algal bloom (HAB) events in the Arabian Gulf is a strong indication that the study of the spatiotemporal distribution of chlorophyll-a and its relationship with other variables is critical. This study analyzes the relationship between chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and sea surface temperature (SST) and their trends in the Arabian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman along the United Arab Emirates coast. Additionally, the relationship between bathymetry and Chl-a and SST was examined. The MODIS Aqua product with a resolution of 1 × 1 km2 was employed for both chlorophyll-a and SST covering a timeframe from 2003 to 2019. The highest concentration of chlorophyll-a was seen in the Strait of Hormuz with an average of 2.8 mg m−3, which is 1.1 mg m−3 higher than the average for the entire study area. Three-quarters of the study area showed a significant correlation between the Chl-a and SST. The shallow (deep) areas showed a strong positive (negative) correlation between the Chl-a and SST. The results indicate the presence of trends for both variables across most of the study area. SST significantly increased in more than two-thirds of the study area in the summer with no significant trends detected in the winter.

show abstract

Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Sea Surface Temperatures and Sea Level Rise—The Arabian Gulf

Cited by 51 publications

References 48 publications

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Variability in the Arabian/Persian Gulf

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Variability in the Arabian/Persian Gulf

Climate change: A driver of future conflicts in the Persian Gulf Region?

Spatiotemporal Variability of Chlorophyll-a and Sea Surface Temperature, and Their Relationship with Bathymetry over the Coasts of UAE

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About