2017
DOI: 10.1177/2399808317732575
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Assessment of model validation outcomes of a new recursive spatial equilibrium model for the Greater Beijing

Abstract: Robust calibration and validation of applied urban models are prerequisites for their successful, policy-cogent use. This is particularly important today when expert assessment is questioned and closely scrutinized. This paper proposes a new model calibration-validation strategy based on a spatial equilibrium model that incorporates multiple time horizons, such that the predictive capabilities of the model can be empirically tested. The model is implemented for the Greater Beijing city region and the model val… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Model verification through forward and backward prediction is helpful to verify the stability of model parameters and predict the recursive equilibrium framework. The proposed modeling strategy sets a new standard for verifying the recursive equilibrium model [ 1 ]. Kurichev has developed a new model of spatial balance in MA, which includes three modules: (1) the spatial equilibrium model of MA labor and housing market, (2) the dynamic equilibrium model of Malian immigration and housing construction, and (3) the distribution model of housing construction in various regions [ 2 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Model verification through forward and backward prediction is helpful to verify the stability of model parameters and predict the recursive equilibrium framework. The proposed modeling strategy sets a new standard for verifying the recursive equilibrium model [ 1 ]. Kurichev has developed a new model of spatial balance in MA, which includes three modules: (1) the spatial equilibrium model of MA labor and housing market, (2) the dynamic equilibrium model of Malian immigration and housing construction, and (3) the distribution model of housing construction in various regions [ 2 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Land-use and transport have traditionally been the main foci of applied urban modeling (Wegener, 1994(Wegener, , 2004. Over the past decades, significant research went into improving the operationality, comprehensiveness, and representativeness of urban models, informed by real-world applications of established models in various cities across the globe (Anas and Liu, 2007;Waddell, 2011;Jin et al, 2013;Wan and Jin, 2017). Applied urban models have played an important role in not only informing policy and interventions for cities and infrastructure, but also establishing a new science of cities through academic research (Batty, 2013).…”
Section: Urban Modeling and City-scale Digital Twinsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A cross-year validation process (2000–2010) was conducted following the method from Wan and Jin (2017). With the location of jobs and the number of housing units as the main inputs, the predicted residents’ location in 2010 has a good fit with the observed one, as the r-square reaches 0.94.…”
Section: Model Calibration and Validation: The Use Of Retrospective Data 2000–2017mentioning
confidence: 99%