Assimilation and Contrast Effects in the 1972 Election

Granberg, Donald; Jenks, Richard J.

doi:10.1177/001872677703000704

Cited by 40 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…Our finding of no evidence for such post-vote assimilation is consistent with the results reported by Granberg and Jenks (1977) on a national sample of voters in the 1972 presidential election. In that study, there was no tendency for voters interviewed after the election to see their candidate's position on a variety of issues as more similar to their own than did those interviewed beforehand.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 91%

Optimism about Elections: Dissonance Reduction at the Ballot Box

Regan¹,

Kilduff²

1988

Political Psychology

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JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.This field experiment investigated the effects of the act of voting itself on voters' attitudes in the 1984 presidential election. The subjects were 139 voters who were interviewed either on entering or immediately on departing the polling place. They responded to questions concerning the chances of their candidates being elected president, the outcome of the presidential vote locally, their perceived closeness to their candidates on the issues, and to a nonpolitical question (concerning the beauty of the fall foliage) designed to detect any generalized mood changes as a result of voting. The results showed that people were significantly more confident of their candidates' chances after voting than before, even controlling for any generalized optimism (p < .02). Voting for a presidential candidate had an effect only on expectations concerning the outcome of the race for the presidency, and not on seemingly related questions. The experiment replicates and clarifies previous findings on the effects of post-decision dissonance on attitudes in natural settings.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 91%

Optimism about Elections: Dissonance Reduction at the Ballot Box

Regan¹,

Kilduff²

1988

Political Psychology

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“…Slopes for non-supporters of the American candidates, however, are generally as great (in absolute value) as those for supporters, i.e., we find contrast and assimilation of comparable strength for the elections of 1984, 1988, and 1992. This latter result contrasts with those of Granberg & Jenks (1977) and Granberg, Harris & King (1981), who found assimilation stronger than contrast for the 1972 and 1976 US elections. Our results are, however, in agreement with that of Granberg (1987 : Table 4) for the one US election which was analyzed both by Granberg and by ourselves.…”

Section: Hypotheses About Assimilation and Contrast Effectscontrasting

confidence: 93%

Assimilation and contrast effects in voter projections of party locations: Evidence from Norway, France, and the USA

Merrill

Grofman

Adams

2001

European J Political Res

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To what extent are the contents of party election programmes congruent with subsequent government policy actions? Existing research on the fulfilment of pre-election pledges focuses on systems of government in which executives formed by a single parties are the norm. This study extends this research to coalition systems of government. Specific policy proposals made by the main Dutch parties in their recent election programmes are identified and compared with subsequent government policy actions. Hypotheses about the conditions under which pledges are more likely to be acted upon are formulated and tested. Although clear linkages between election programmes and subsequent policies are found, pledges made by prospective coalition parties in the Netherlands are less likely to be acted upon than those made by prospective governing parties in the United Kingdom. Prominent features of cabinet government, such as the allocation of ministerial portfolios and the coalition policy agreement, are found to influence the likelihood of pledges being fulfilled. In addition, consensus between parties is also found to increase the likelihood of government actions responding to election pledges.

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“…Instead, I try to detect the presence of this bias in an indirect way, which builds on the logic of projection bias (Merrill and Grofman, 1999). A voluminous literature has suggested that when survey respondents are asked to locate political parties on ideological or issue scales, they tend to bring parties they like closer to their own ideal points and to distance themselves from parties they dislike (see, for example, Dinas et al, 2016; Granberg and Jenks, 1977). I exploit this pattern by leveraging possible asymmetries in the direction and strength of this bias.…”

Section: Analytical Strategy: Anti-right Bias As Asymmetric Projectiomentioning

confidence: 99%

Political Socialisation and Regime Change: How the Right Ceased to be Wrong in Post-1974 Greece

Dinas

2017

Political Studies

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In established democracies, parties provide ideological cues either with their policy stances or with their social group affiliations. In new democracies, these signals are still ambiguous. What determines the meaning attached to ideological labels in such circumstances? Existing explanations emphasise country-specific ethno-linguistic cleavages. I propose a different explanation, which rests on the ideological legacy of the authoritarian past. Dictatorships are linked either to the left or to the right. This association between ideology and the authoritarian past persists after the democratic transition, distorting people’s perceptions of the meaning of ideological labels. This distortion translates into a bias against the ideology of the dictator. As the party system consolidates, however, the role of history is overcome by the accumulation of democratic experience. Focusing on the case of Greece, I propose a modelling framework to test the presence of this bias, its observational implications and its evolution along the process of party system consolidation.

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Assimilation and Contrast Effects in the 1972 Election

Cited by 40 publications

References 9 publications

Optimism about Elections: Dissonance Reduction at the Ballot Box

Optimism about Elections: Dissonance Reduction at the Ballot Box

Assimilation and contrast effects in voter projections of party locations: Evidence from Norway, France, and the USA

Political Socialisation and Regime Change: How the Right Ceased to be Wrong in Post-1974 Greece

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