Background
Obesity is an increasing problem worldwide and is one of the underlying risk factors for prediabetes. Although WHtR, BMI, WC and WHR were found to be associated with dysglycemia, in view of significant differences in basic characteristics, glycemic metabolism, and ethnicity, it is of practical value to investigate which indicators are the most useful measures to predict the incidence of prediabetes in Chinese population. The aim of this study was to compare the value of different anthropometric measures of obesity in the detection of prediabetes in a cohort study in China and to identify the best cut-off point of predicting prediabetes in this population.
Methods
The present study was a part of the ongoing Risk Evaluation of cAncers in Chinese diabetic Individuals: an IONgitudinal (REACTION) study. After 7 years of follow-up, a total of 2568 individuals in Beijing were analyzed. Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) were measured at baseline and during follow-up. These four values were divided into tertiles. Fast blood glucose and postprandial blood glucose were tested. The association of these four anthropometric values with blood glucose were tested using multiple logistic analysis.
Results
A total of 2568 normoglycemic participants (810 males and 1758 females) were recruited, with an average age of 62.68 ± 6.97 years. After 7 years of follow-up, 52 subjects had developed newly diagnosed diabetes, and 423 individuals had developed prediabetes. Among those with prediabetes, 278 had IGT, 105 had IFG, and 40 had IGT + IFG. The incidences of prediabetes and diabetes were calculated to be 115.3 per 1000 person-years and 14.2 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that there was no significant difference in the WHtR, BMI, WC, WHR among those with diabetes and nondiabets. In the general population and the group of females with prediabetes, we found that WHtR was the best value to predict prediabetes, and with an increase in the WHtR, the possibility of prediabetes increased by 90% or 102%, respectively. In the group of males, WHR was the most associated with prediabetes, and people in Tertile 2 was 2.62 times more likely to suffer from prediabetes than those in Tertile 1. For females, the optimal cut-off points of WHtR, BMI, WC and WHR were 0.48, 23.5 kg/m2, 75.6 cm and 0.84, respectively. For males, the optimal cut-off points of the WHtR, BMI, WC and WHR were 0.50, 25.5 kg/m2, 88.9 cm and 0.93, respectively.
Conclusion
In a Chinese study population, WHtR was the best predictor of the development of prediabetes in the general population and in females 7 years in advance, while WHR could predict the development of prediabetes in males. Early identification of prediabetes can better prevent diabetes.