Quantifying atmospheric CO 2 concentrations (½CO 2 atm ) during Earth's ancient greenhouse episodes is essential for accurately predicting the response of future climate to elevated CO 2 levels. Empirical estimates of ½CO 2 atm during Paleozoic and Mesozoic greenhouse climates are based primarily on the carbon isotope composition of calcium carbonate in fossil soils. We report that greenhouse ½CO 2 atm have been significantly overestimated because previously assumed soil CO 2 concentrations during carbonate formation are too high. More accurate ½CO 2 atm , resulting from better constraints on soil CO 2 , indicate that large (1,000s of ppmV) fluctuations in ½CO 2 atm did not characterize ancient climates and that past greenhouse climates were accompanied by concentrations similar to those projected for A.D. 2100.The anthropogenically driven rise in ½CO 2 atm is well established (1) but its effect on future climate is less certain (2). Many recent studies indicate that ½CO 2 atm has controlled or strongly amplified Phanerozoic (542 Ma-present) climate variations (3-8) and therefore understanding the relationship between ½CO 2 atm and climate over geologic time provides crucial empirical constraints on the magnitude of future global warming (1, 9). Estimates of Paleozoic and Mesozoic ½CO 2 atm are largely based on the soil carbonate CO 2 paleobarometer (10), which is the most temporally continuous proxy (indicator) for ½CO 2 atm over the past 400 million years. The CO 2 paleobarometer is also considered the most reliable provider of ½CO 2 atm estimates for times when ½CO 2 atm was significantly above modern values (11). The CO 2 paleobarometer suggests that ½CO 2 atm values exceeded 3,000 parts per million by volume (ppmV) during Permian (289-251 Ma) and Mesozoic (251-65 Ma) greenhouse climates (5,8,12). However, other ½CO 2 atm proxies, which are either considered to be less reliable at high ½CO 2 atm (stomatal index) or are newly developed and therefore less widely utilized (e.g., fossil bryophytes), typically result in ½CO 2 atm estimates for greenhouse climates that are much lower than estimates from soil carbonate (5, 6). The large discrepancy among proxies can be interpreted two ways: 1) large (1,000s of ppmV) variations in ½CO 2 atm occurred over relatively short time periods (in certain cases shorter than the temporal resolution of the proxy records) throughout the Phanerozoic or 2) some of the proxy estimates are inaccurate. In this study we use data from modern soils and incorporate an improved understanding of pedogenic carbonate formation to recalibrate the CO 2 paleobarometer. We report that the most often quoted ½CO 2 atm values, those previously determined from pedogenic carbonate, are too high, and that paleo ½CO 2 atm values did not persist above 1,500 ppmV during the past 400 million years.Pedogenic (soil) carbonate (calcite, CaCO 3 ) forms in soils where potential evapotranspiration exceeds precipitation, typically in arid to subhumid regions that receive less than 100 cm of rain per year. Ca 2þ ...