Bayesian explorations with dice

Abstract

The topic of Bayesian updating is explored using standard and non‐standard dice as an intuitive and motivating model. Details of calculating posterior probabilities for a discrete distribution are provided, offering a different view to P‐values. This article also includes the stars and bars counting technique, a powerful method of counting that is accessible to students who have been introduced to permutations and combinations. Supportive R code is included throughout, and a Shiny application accompanies the article allowing for an interactive exploration of the topics discussed.

Aplicaciones interactivas basadas en el paquete SHINY/R para explicar conceptos estadísticos

“…),Berg (2021),Depaoli, Winter y Visser (2020), Di Iorio y Vantini (2021), Fawcett (2018), Mochón, Carrillo, Jiménez y López (2021), Sigal y Chalmers (2016),Wang et al (2021)…”