2011
DOI: 10.5194/npg-18-515-2011
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Bayesian neural network modeling of tree-ring temperature variability record from the Western Himalayas

Abstract: Abstract.A novel technique based on the Bayesian neural network (BNN) theory is developed and employed to model the temperature variation record from the Western Himalayas. In order to estimate an a posteriori probability function, the BNN is trained with the Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC)/Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations algorithm. The efficacy of the new algorithm is tested on the well known chaotic, first order autoregressive (AR) and random models and then applied to model the temperature variation re… Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…According to , non-climatic variables that potentially hinder reconstructions of millennial-scale climate trends from tree-ring widths involve, inter alia, post-glacial soil development and the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since the early Holocene. In addition, there are unsettled statistical issues related to tree-ring-based estimates of past climate variability (Cook et al 1995;Esper et al 2005;Tiwari and Maiti 2011;Yang et al 2011Yang et al , 2012.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…According to , non-climatic variables that potentially hinder reconstructions of millennial-scale climate trends from tree-ring widths involve, inter alia, post-glacial soil development and the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since the early Holocene. In addition, there are unsettled statistical issues related to tree-ring-based estimates of past climate variability (Cook et al 1995;Esper et al 2005;Tiwari and Maiti 2011;Yang et al 2011Yang et al , 2012.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As such, ANNs have been applied to a range of research problems from predicting stock markets 52 to biomedical sciences 51 and monitoring water quality 53 to name a few. Specifically in environmental research, ANNs have successfully been applied in a range of dendroclimatic 5457 , geomorphological 58,59 and aeolian studies 60–63 .…”
Section: Landscape Reactivation In Dryland Systemsmentioning
confidence: 99%